Friday , 16 October 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC BayArena

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct KKS Lech Poznan A 4–0 W
10 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
20 Sep RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
16 Sep NK Celje H 2–0 W
12 Sep FC Augsburg A 2–2 D
05 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 2–1 W
19 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
12 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 5–0 W
05 Sep SC Paderborn 07 A 1–0 W
30 Aug SV Werder Bremen H 4–1 W
23 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 5–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SC Freiburg
#4 Position #1
10 Points 13
5 Played 5
3 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
14 Scored 14
8 Conceded 4
+6 GD +10
2.00 PPG 2.60
60% Win % 80%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
40% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 4th (10 pts). SC Freiburg are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

H2H

Predictions

1.87 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg 77% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen44% Draw23% SC Freiburg33%

Both Teams to Score

Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
67%
Draw or SC Freiburg
56%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg
77%

Half-Time Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen30% Draw40% SC Freiburg30%

Correct Score

1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
17%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.