Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 31,095 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaydon Banel 54' 1–0
Carlton Morris 89' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
03 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar Watford FC H 3–1 W
10 Mar Ipswich Town FC H 3–3 D
07 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#23 Position #26
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Stoke City FC are 26th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park Stadium.
  • 3' Sydney Agina was booked on 3.
  • 8' Over 8 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 13' Japan international Tatsuki Seko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 28' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 33' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Joon-ho Bae is replacing Tomas Rigo for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 40' Tomas Rigo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 41' Jaydon Banel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patrick Agyemang at the 41 minute mark.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Stoke City FCSam Gallagher on, Lamine Cisse off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Jaydon Banel puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 59' Sorba Thomas, a Wales , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 63' Lewis Baker is replacing Steven N'Zonzi for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 68' Derry Murkin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Lewis Travis is booked for Derby County FC — card on 69.
  • 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 78' Joon-ho Bae makes way for Milan Smit at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
  • 80' The whistle greets David Ozoh as he departs to be replaced by Oscar Fraulo.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Jaydon Banel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 89' Assisted by Bobby Clark with the perfectly-timed delivery and Carlton Morris makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 90' Cruz Allen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bobby Clark on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.88 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.33 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC49% Draw37% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 35%
65%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Stoke City FC
51%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC26% Draw67% Stoke City FC7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32.5%
1 – 0
24.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 2
1.4%
3 – 1
1.3%
0 – 2
1.3%
2 – 2
0.8%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 29% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
72%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.