Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 26 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 26 games · 43 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 27 | 56 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 26 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 26 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba FBC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos FC | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 26 | 33 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 26 | 32 |
| 13 | Botafogo FR | 26 | 32 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 26 | 32 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 27 | 28 |
| 16 | Gremio FBPA | 26 | 28 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 26 | 28 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 26 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 26 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 26 | 17 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Chapecoense AF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #5 |
| 28 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 7 / 7 / 12 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 5 |
| 28 | Scored | 40 |
| 35 | Conceded | 32 |
| -7 | GD | +8 |
| 1.08 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 27% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
38%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 16th (28 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/7
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 8 G | 1 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Mateo Sanabria | 1 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Danielzinho | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
1.18
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
56%
Draw or EC Bahia
72%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.