Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 25 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Franco Cristaldo 26' Y
Francis Amuzu 28' Y
Y 35' David Duarte
Y 39' Santiago Ramos
Y 59' Everton Ribeiro
Cristian Pavon 90' Y
Alexander Aravena 90' Y
Y 90' Caio Alexandre

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 25 52
2 CR Flamengo 24 48
3 CA Paranaense 25 45
4 Fluminense FC 25 42
5 EC Bahia 25 40
6 Cruzeiro EC 25 39
7 Coritiba FBC 25 37
8 CA Mineiro 24 36
9 RB Bragantino 24 35
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 25 32
11 Sao Paulo FC 24 30
12 Botafogo FR 24 30
13 Santos FC 24 29
14 EC Vitoria 25 29
15 Gremio FBPA 24 28
16 SC Internacional 25 25
17 Mirassol FC 24 25
18 CR Vasco da Gama 24 25
19 Clube do Remo 25 23
20 Chapecoense AF 24 14

Head-to-Head

9
2
7
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-07-01 EC Bahia 1–2 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
18 May EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
11 May CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
04 May Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
27 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
21 Apr Ceará SC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA EC Bahia
#15 Position #5
28 Points 40
24 Played 25
7 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 5
27 Scored 37
32 Conceded 30
-5 GD +7
1.17 PPG 1.60
29% Win % 40%

Key Stats

28% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
40% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Jean Lucas 3 G 3 A
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Arena do Gremio will turn into a battlefield for Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Grêmio FBPA in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Joao Pedro has done his job and it is now time for Ronald to step up.
  • 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Franco Cristaldo on 26 minutes.
  • 28' The referee calls foul for Francis Amuzu. He receives a card.
  • 33' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 39' Controversy at the stadium! Santiago Ramos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 44' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Gremio FBPA make a change. Francis Amuzu trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Pavon on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Everton Ribeiro is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 56' Cauly, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' That is a card for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Martin Braithwaite on 61.
  • 66' Uruguay international Cristian Olivera has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Willian Jose. He replaces Luciano Rodriguez on 68 minute.
  • 73' The whistle greets Franco Cristaldo as he departs to be replaced by Gustavo Martins.
  • 78' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Cristian Olivera is withdrawn and Alexander Aravena gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Iago Borduchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cauly at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' EC Bahia ring the changes. Gilberto has done his job and it is now time for Santiago Arias to step up.
  • 88' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Cristian Pavon is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 90.
  • Grêmio FBPA celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 2
Elber 2
Thaciano 2
Elber 2
Danielzinho 1
Maicon 1
Martin Braithwaite 1
Arthur Caike 1

Head to Head

2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-07-01 EC Bahia 1–2 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D

EC Bahia Form

2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia L 2025-05-18 EC Bahia 2–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-05-11 CR Flamengo 1–0 EC Bahia L 2025-05-04 EC Bahia 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia W 2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA39% Draw31% EC Bahia30%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
70%
Draw or EC Bahia
61%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA23% Draw55% EC Bahia22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
3 – 0
2.3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.