Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 25 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Franco Cristaldo 26' Y
Francis Amuzu 28' Y
Y 35' David Duarte
Y 39' Santiago Ramos
Y 59' Everton Ribeiro
Cristian Pavon 90' Y
Alexander Aravena 90' Y
Y 90' Caio Alexandre

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

9
2
7
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-07-01 EC Bahia 1–2 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
18 May EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
11 May CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
04 May Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
27 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
21 Apr Ceará SC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA EC Bahia
#18 Position #5
31 Points 49
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 10 / 7
32 Scored 44
40 Conceded 36
-8 GD +8
1.03 PPG 1.63
23% Win % 43%

Key Stats

28% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
37% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 10 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Arena do Gremio. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The 30-year-old Franco Cristaldo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' David Duarte has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 23' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro trudges off to be replaced by Ronald on 23 minutes.
  • 26' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 26.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Francis Amuzu is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 28.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for David Duarte on 35.
  • 39' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' Luciano Rodriguez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' The whistle greets Francis Amuzu as he departs to be replaced by Cristian Pavon.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' It’s high time Mano Menezes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' Everton Ribeiro picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' Martin Braithwaite is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' Luciano Rodriguez makes way for Willian Jose at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Gustavo Martins on, Franco Cristaldo off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Cristian Olivera is withdrawn and Alexander Aravena gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Iago Borduchi is replacing Cauly for the EC Bahia side.
  • 83' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Gilberto is replaced by Santiago Arias on 83 minute.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Erick made 238 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Cristian Pavon. He receives a card.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 2
Elber 2
Thaciano 2
Elber 2
Rodrigo Nestor 1
Thaciano 1
Vinicius Mingotti 1
David Duarte 1

Head to Head

2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2023-07-01 EC Bahia 1–2 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D

EC Bahia Form

2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia L 2025-05-18 EC Bahia 2–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-05-11 CR Flamengo 1–0 EC Bahia L 2025-05-04 EC Bahia 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia W 2025-04-21 EC Bahia 1–0 Ceará SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA39% Draw32% EC Bahia29%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
70%
Draw or EC Bahia
61%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA23% Draw55% EC Bahia22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.2%
3 – 0
2.2%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.