Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 18 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | EC Vitoria | 18 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 19 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio FBPA | 19 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol FC | 18 | 19 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 18 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 May | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 29 |
| 19 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 5 |
| 21 | Scored | 27 |
| 25 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 26% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Grêmio FBPA host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Erick, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 23' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Joao Pedro by Ronald on 23 minute.
- 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Franco Cristaldo on 26 minutes.
- 28' The referee has no hesitation. Francis Amuzu is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 28.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' Controversy at the stadium! David Duarte argues furiously but the card stands.
- 39' Controversy at the stadium! Santiago Ramos argues furiously but the card stands.
- 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mathias Villasanti suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Cristian Pavon comes on to replace Francis Amuzu.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 59' Poor challenge from Everton Ribeiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' Martin Braithwaite doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 66' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 68' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Luciano Rodriguez is replaced by Willian Jose.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Gustavo Martins. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 73 minute.
- 78' Alexander Aravena gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Cristian Olivera and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' Cauly makes way for Iago Borduchi at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 83' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Santiago Arias enters on 83.
- 88' The 30-year-old Marcos Felipe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Pavon.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 17
- 22
- 18
- 10
- 9
- 1
- 20
- 3
- 99
Bench
- 14
- 36
- 7
- 25
- 15
- 12
- 19
- 53
- 35
- 44
- 16
- 47
Coach
Mano Menezes
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Kayky 68'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 83'
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↓ Iago Borduchi 82'
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 68'
- 16
- 17
Bench
- 96
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 68'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 83'
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 82'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 68'
- 26
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 3
- 77
- 70
- 83
- 52
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Vanderson | 1 |
| Kayky | 1 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Bahia
60%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

