Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 30 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 29 | 50 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 29 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 29 | 38 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 37 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo FR | 29 | 35 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 28 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Mirassol FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 51 | Points | 49 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 9 / 7 | W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 7 |
| 48 | Scored | 44 |
| 37 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +8 |
| 1.70 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 47% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 5 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 6 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 5 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Maracana as Fluminense FC face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 11' Ignacio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ignacio on 12.
- 17' Juan Freytes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 22' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' The supporters are chanting for Thiago Silva. He replaces Juan Freytes on 41 minute.
- 46' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact 3-1-4-2.
- 49' A moment of madness from Erick on 49 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 50' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 55' Agustin Canobbio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 62' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Luciano Acosta by Jefferson Savarino on 62 minute.
- 64' Everton Ribeiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 64 minute.
- 65' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Luciano Juba is replaced by Michel Araujo.
- 70' Nonato, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Martins is hanging Jean Lucas on the field on 74 minute.
- 75' EC Bahia ring the changes. Erick has done his job and it is now time for Kaue Junior to step up.
- 80' EC Bahia come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 88' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Alejo Veliz is replaced by Willian Jose.
- The points are shared — Fluminense FC 0-0 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 16
- 32
- 4
-
22
Juan Freytes ↓ Thiago Silva 41'
- 30
-
7
Hulk ↓ German Cano 75'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Hercules 62'
- 17
Bench
- 25
- 21
- 23
-
3
Thiago Silva ↑ 41'
- 10
- 94
-
11
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 62'
- 27
-
14
German Cano ↑ 75'
-
35
Hercules ↑ 62'
- 90
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Bahia Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ David Martins 74'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everton Ribeiro 64'
- 11
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Willian Jose 88'
- 44
-
16
Erick ↓ Kaue Junior 75'
- 31
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 64'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 88'
- 17
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
- 23
- 55
- 43
- 67
-
63
David Martins ↑ 74'
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 75'
- 77
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Elias Kaua | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
57%
Fluminense FC or EC Bahia
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.