Chapecoense AF vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Chapecoense AF vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena Conda.
- Chapecoense AF 18 games · 9 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 18 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | EC Vitoria | 18 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 19 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 19 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol FC | 18 | 19 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 18 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Clube do Remo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Chapecoense AF | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #6 |
| 9 | Points | 29 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 1 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 5 |
| 17 | Scored | 27 |
| 35 | Conceded | 23 |
| -18 | GD | +4 |
| 0.50 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 6% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
Chapecoense AF this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Chapecoense AF are 20th (9 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Chapecoense AF
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Chapecoense AF
| Walter Clar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rodriguinho | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Luiz Otavio | 2 |
| Henrique Almeida | 2 |
| Pedro Perotti | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Danielzinho | 1 |
| Osman Junior | 1 |
Head to Head
Chapecoense AF Form
Predictions
0.94
Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Chapecoense AF or Draw
46%
Draw or EC Bahia
79%
Chapecoense AF or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
10.4%
0 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 3
6.8%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
4.1%
0 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF
| Handicap | Chapecoense AF covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
14%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

