Chapecoense AF vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Chapecoense AF vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena Conda.
- Chapecoense AF 24 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 25 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Aug | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Jul | CR Flamengo | H | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Chapecoense AF | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #5 |
| 14 | Points | 40 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 2 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 37 |
| 49 | Conceded | 30 |
| -24 | GD | +7 |
| 0.58 | PPG | 1.60 |
| 8% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
Chapecoense AF this season
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Chapecoense AF are 20th (14 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Chapecoense AF
| Walter Clar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Chapecoense AF have kicked off against EC Bahia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 13' The Argentina Alejo Veliz breaks the deadlock on 13 minutes. 0-1!
- 18' Uruguay international Kevin Ramirez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 19' GOAL! Giovanni Augusto scores on 19. Assisted by Yago Felipe
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Chapecoense AF and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' Camilo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 46' The whistle greets Kevin Ramirez as he departs to be replaced by Tulio Oliveira.
- 48' The Brazil Marcinho breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 3-1!
- 53' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rodrigo Nestor scoring 1 goals.
- 58' Chapecoense AF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 62' Franco Rossi makes no mistake. The score reads 4-1 and Chapecoense AF are in front.
- 65' Nicolas Acevedo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
- 67' Mateo Sanabria is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaue Junior at the 67 minute mark.
- 71' Tulio Oliveira doubles the advantage! 5-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 76' With 1 assists to his name this season, Erick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 78' Fernando makes way for Bruno Pacheco at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Chapecoense AF.
- 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 84' Mateo Sanabria catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 84' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Rodrigo Nestor is replaced by Michel Araujo.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Camilo.
- 90' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Chapecoense AF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
88
Yago Felipe ↓ David Antunes 78'
- 10
- 7
- 98
-
94
Kevin Ramirez ↓ Tulio Oliveira 46'
- 5
- 27
-
12
Fernando ↓ Bruno Pacheco 78'
- 3
- 21
-
16
Bruno Matias ↓ Franco Rossi 46'
Bench
-
91
Bruno Pacheco ↑ 78'
- 15
- 97
- 6
- 70
- 18
-
26
Everton ↑ 46'
- 25
-
19
David Antunes ↑ 78'
- 30
-
29
Franco Rossi ↑ 46'
-
9
Tulio Oliveira ↑ 46'
Coach
Lacerda
EC Bahia Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Caio Alexandre 67'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 84'
- 33
- 21
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Erick 67'
- 5
- 9
- 16
-
31
Roman Gomez ↓ Jose Guilherme 67'
-
57
Kaue Junior ↓ Mateo Sanabria 67'
Bench
- 4
- 12
- 17
-
14
Erick ↑ 67'
- 27
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↑ 67'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 84'
- 44
- 3
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 67'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 67'
- 99
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Almeida | 2 |
| Rodriguinho | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Luiz Otavio | 2 |
| Nicolas Acevedo | 1 |
| Alejo Veliz | 1 |
| Marco Antonio | 1 |
| Giovanni Augusto | 1 |
Head to Head
Chapecoense AF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25
Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Chapecoense AF or Draw
47%
Draw or EC Bahia
77%
Chapecoense AF or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF
| Handicap | Chapecoense AF covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

