EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Estudiantes de La Plata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | CD Huachipato | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 49 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 13 / 10 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 32 |
| 36 | Conceded | 40 |
| +8 | GD | -8 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 43% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact 4-3-3.
- 10' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Nathan Ribeiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 17' Everaldo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 22' Walter Kannemann has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 336 appearances.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 336 games and scored 393 goals.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 42' Santiago Arias, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' Walter Kannemann picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Franco Cristaldo is hanging Yeferson Soteldo on the field on 46 minute.
- 47' Gabriel Xavier was booked on 47.
- 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Everton Ribeiro was booked on 56.
- 61' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' Gabriel Teixeira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everton Ribeiro at the 64 minute mark.
- 68' A moment of madness from Dodi on 68 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 72' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Diego Costa is replaced by Joao Pedro Galvao.
- 76' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Thaciano is withdrawn and Carlos De Pena gets his opportunity.
- 78' Gustavo Gomes was booked on 78.
- 79' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Jose Guilherme comes on to replace Fabio.
- 80' The crowd applauds Cauly as he leaves the pitch. Ademir Santos steps in for EC Bahia.
- 81' EC Bahia make a change. Caio Alexandre trudges off to be replaced by Rezende on 81 minutes.
- 86' Marcos Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Rodrigo Ely. He receives a card.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Bahia to claim maximum points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Carlos De Pena 76'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 80'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 81'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 81'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 80'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Rafael Ratao ↑ 81'
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 76'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 64'
-
–
Rezende ↑ 81'
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- –
- 17
- 2
- 5
-
19
Diego Costa ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 72'
- 18
-
–
Edenilson ↓ Gustavo Gomes 46'
- 7
- 20
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 46'
- –
Bench
- 31
- 14
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 72'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 46'
- 13
- –
- 36
- 35
- 51
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 46'
- –
-
39
Gustavo Gomes ↑ 46'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Jael | 1 |
| Miguel Borja | 1 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 1 |
| Thiago Santos | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
50%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.