EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Estudiantes de La Plata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | CD Huachipato | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 40 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 30 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -5 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 40% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA is underway.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Edenilson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Everaldo makes it 1-0.
- 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
- 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 329 games and scored 352 goals.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Walter Kannemann has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Yeferson Soteldo makes way for Franco Cristaldo at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 47' Poor challenge from Gabriel Xavier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' Franco Cristaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Everton Ribeiro argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Xavier made 329 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 64' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Everton Ribeiro is withdrawn and Gabriel Teixeira gets his opportunity.
- 68' Dodi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
- 72' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Diego Costa is withdrawn and Joao Pedro Galvao gets his opportunity.
- 76' EC Bahia ring the changes. Thaciano has done his job and it is now time for Carlos De Pena to step up.
- 78' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Gustavo Gomes gets a card.
- 79' Jose Guilherme is replacing Fabio for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 80' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Cauly is replaced by Ademir Santos.
- 81' Caio Alexandre makes way for Rezende at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Gremio FBPA winning 0% of all matches.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rodrigo Ely on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Carlos De Pena 76'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 80'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 81'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 81'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 80'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Rafael Ratao ↑ 81'
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 76'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 64'
-
–
Rezende ↑ 81'
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- –
- 17
- 2
- 5
-
19
Diego Costa ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 72'
- 18
-
–
Edenilson ↓ Gustavo Gomes 46'
- 7
- 20
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 46'
- –
Bench
- 31
- 14
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 72'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 46'
- 13
- –
- 36
- 35
- 51
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 46'
- –
-
39
Gustavo Gomes ↑ 46'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 1 |
| Iago Borduchi | 1 |
| Maicon | 1 |
| Darlan Mendes | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
50%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.