EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #6 |
| 38 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 35 | Scored | 50 |
| 51 | Conceded | 45 |
| -16 | GD | +5 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Barradao will turn into a battlefield for EC Vitória and EC Bahia.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitória must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 50% of all matches.
- 25' EC Vitória currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 26' The referee has no hesitation. Matheuzinho is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 26.
- 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitória and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 42' Rodrigo Nestor picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Leandro Martinez comes on to replace Diego Tarzia.
- 51' EC Vitória are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 340 games and scored 368 goals.
- 61' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 62' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Erick by Marinho on 62 minute.
- 67' What a moment for Alejo Veliz! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Renato Kayzer. He replaces Matheuzinho on 70 minute.
- 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 77' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 77 minute. Emanuel Britez leaves to be changed by Matheusinho.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Erick.
- 82' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Ruan Pablo gets his opportunity.
- 87' It’s high time Jair Ventura made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Jean Lucas argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The crowd applauds Alejo Veliz as he leaves the pitch. Everaldo steps in for EC Bahia.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 36
- 15
- 2
- 13
- 1
- 10
- 12
- 88
- 91
Bench
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 83
- 79
- 11
- 71
- 6
- 98
- 18
- 18
- 26
- 9
Coach
Jair Ventura
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
14
Erick ↓ Jean Lucas 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 82'
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Everaldo 90'
-
16
Erick ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 99
- 31
Bench
-
6
Jean Lucas ↑ 70'
- 4
- 12
- 17
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 90'
- 8
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 82'
- 44
- 3
- 23
- 66
-
77
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Tiago Pagnussat | 1 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
| Jean Lucas | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
51%
Draw or EC Bahia
76%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

