EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 22 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 22 | 40 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 22 | 35 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 21 | 31 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 22 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 21 | 26 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 33 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 7 / 5 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 25 |
| -11 | GD | +4 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 32% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Tiago | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| Wagner Leonardo | 1 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
0.88
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
55%
Draw or EC Bahia
73%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
23%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
42%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

