EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 28 | Scored | 43 |
| 42 | Conceded | 35 |
| -14 | GD | +8 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Vitoria and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Lucas Arcanjo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 182 appearances.
- 25' Brazil international Luan Candido has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' Matheuzinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Everaldo made 183 appearances and scored 58 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' Cristian Olivera has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 42' Controversy at the stadium! Rodrigo Nestor argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' Leandro Martinez gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Diego Tarzia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Roman Gomez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 61' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 62' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Marinho on, Erick off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Alejo Veliz makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 70' Renato Kayzer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheuzinho on 70 minute.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheuzinho suffering a number of foals already.
- 77' Matheusinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emanuel Britez at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Erick gets a card.
- 82' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Erick is replaced by Ruan Pablo.
- 87' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Alejo Veliz by Everaldo on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 36
- 15
- 2
- 13
- 1
- 10
- 12
- 88
- 91
Bench
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 83
- 79
- 11
- 71
- 6
- 98
- 18
- 18
- 26
- 9
Coach
Jair Ventura
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
14
Erick ↓ Jean Lucas 70'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 82'
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
-
9
Alejo Veliz ↓ Everaldo 90'
-
16
Erick ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 99
- 31
Bench
-
6
Jean Lucas ↑ 70'
- 4
- 12
- 17
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 90'
- 8
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 82'
- 44
- 3
- 23
- 66
-
77
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Vinicius | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Tiago | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
| Lucas Marques | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
50%
Draw or EC Bahia
77%
EC Vitoria or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.