Friday , 16 October 2026

EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Bahia
4 – 0
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 64' Camilo
Iago Borduchi 80' Y
Ruan Pablo 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

7
2
9
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-19 EC Bahia 4–0 Gremio FBPA 2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Gremio FBPA H 4–0 W
17 Oct EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
05 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
02 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
28 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
24 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct EC Bahia A 0–4 L
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia Gremio FBPA
#5 Position #18
49 Points 31
30 Played 30
13 / 10 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
44 Scored 32
36 Conceded 40
+8 GD -8
1.63 PPG 1.03
43% Win % 23%

Key Stats

28% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
37% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 10 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Gremio FBPA for this crunch clash at Arena Fonte Nova.
  • 4' Against the run of play, Iago Borduchi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 9' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The deadlock is broken! Willian Jose gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
  • 15' Peru international Erick Noriega has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 18' The whistle greets Marcos Rocha as he departs to be replaced by Camilo.
  • 23' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 336 games and scored 366 goals.
  • 33' Ronaldo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 38' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Alexander Aravena is replaced by Francis Amuzu.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 57' David Duarte is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 63' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cristian Olivera is hanging Cristian Pavon on the field on 63 minute.
  • 64' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Camilo gets a card.
  • 68' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Ademir Santos exits the field as Mateo Sanabria enters on 68.
  • 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Gilberto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
  • 74' Another change for EC Bahia made on 74 minute. Michel Araujo leaves to be changed by Cauly.
  • 79' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Erick Noriega by Joao Lucas on 79 minute.
  • 80' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' Willian Jose makes way for Ruan Pablo at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ruan Pablo on 85 minutes.
  • 90' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • With this win, EC Bahia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 2
Elber 2
Thaciano 2
Elber 2
Mateo Sanabria 1
Fernandao 1
Danielzinho 1
Martin Braithwaite 1

Head to Head

2025-10-19 EC Bahia 4–0 Gremio FBPA 2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-08-17 Gremio FBPA 0–2 EC Bahia 2024-04-28 EC Bahia 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2025-10-19 EC Bahia 4–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-10-17 EC Vitoria 2–1 EC Bahia L 2025-10-05 EC Bahia 1–0 CR Flamengo W 2025-10-02 Botafogo FR 2–1 EC Bahia L 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras W 2025-09-24 CR Vasco da Gama 3–1 EC Bahia L

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-10-19 EC Bahia 4–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-10-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-02 Santos FC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia63% Draw23% Gremio FBPA14%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
86%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
37%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia46% Draw46% Gremio FBPA8%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.6%
2 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
10.1%
3 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
2.6%
4 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 21% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 26% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.