EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 40 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 30 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -5 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 40% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA has kicked off!
- 4' GOAL! Iago Borduchi scores on 4. Assisted by Ademir Santos
- 9' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' A stunning finish from Willian Jose — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 18' Marcos Rocha makes way for Camilo at the 18 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 23' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Michel Araujo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Francis Amuzu. He replaces Alexander Aravena on 46 minute.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 57' David Duarte does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
- 62' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 63' Cristian Olivera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristian Pavon on 63 minute.
- 64' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Camilo will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Ademir Santos is replaced by Mateo Sanabria.
- 73' Gustavo Martins has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 328 appearances.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Cauly. He replaces Michel Araujo on 74 minute.
- 79' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Erick Noriega has done his job and it is now time for Joao Lucas to step up.
- 80' Iago Borduchi is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 82' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruan Pablo is hanging Willian Jose on the field on 82 minute.
- 85' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 90' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 4-0 Gremio FBPA.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 68'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Mateo Sanabria 68'
- 2
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 25
- 33
- 21
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ Cauly 74'
- 26
- 77
Bench
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 74'
- 13
- 1
- 14
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 68'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 68'
- 3
- 66
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 23
-
14
Marcos Rocha ↓ Camilo 18'
- 95
- 7
- 8
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Joao Lucas 79'
- 12
- 53
- 16
Bench
- 21
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 63'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↑ 46'
- 25
-
2
Joao Lucas ↑ 79'
-
15
Camilo ↑ 18'
- 3
-
99
Cristian Olivera ↑ 63'
- 65
- 31
- 40
- 30
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
| Alisson | 1 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
86%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
37%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15%
2 – 0
14.2%
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
10.2%
3 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 26% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.