Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Cuiaba EC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 49 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 7 |
| 32 | Scored | 44 |
| 40 | Conceded | 36 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 23% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Alfredo Jaconi!
- 5' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Rafael Ratao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Everton Ribeiro, as he is very good at scoring at Alfredo Jaconi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' Jose Guilherme needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' Thaciano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 46' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Gustavo Gomes comes on to replace Alexander Aravena.
- 47' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Nathan Ribeiro by Nathan on 47 minute.
- 52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 57' Caio Alexandre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 352 appearances.
- 62' Everton Ribeiro makes way for Carlos De Pena at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 65' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 67' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Yeferson Soteldo will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Yeferson Soteldo on, Fabio off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Diego Costa picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' What composure from Thaciano! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 78' Franco Cristaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Miguel Monsalve at the 78 minute mark.
- 80' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Thaciano by Iago Borduchi on 80 minute.
- 85' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 86' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Luciano Rodriguez comes on to replace Cauly.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Nathan is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 97
- 2
- 5
- 19
- 23
- 37
- 46
- 36
- 32
- 11
- 16
Bench
- 14
- 17
- 30
- 10
- 7
- 9
- 53
- 45
- 33
- 35
- 39
- 34
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Iago Borduchi 80'
- 6
- 10
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 86'
- 13
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Yago Felipe 86'
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 86'
- 31
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 80'
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 86'
- 52
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Danielzinho | 1 |
| Maicon | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Arthur Caike | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
60%
Draw or EC Bahia
70%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

