EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 49 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 13 / 10 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 32 |
| 36 | Conceded | 40 |
| +8 | GD | -8 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 43% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Gremio FBPA for this crunch clash at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' EC Bahia have won 366 goals from 336 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' The 22-year-old Leonel Perez has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' EC Bahia currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 36' Poor challenge from Jose Enamorado. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Willian by Gabriel Mec on 46 minute.
- 51' Everton Ribeiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 57' Kanu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
- 59' Vitor Ramon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcos Rocha on 59 minute.
- 60' Gremio FBPA make a change. Carlos Vinicius trudges off to be replaced by Martin Braithwaite on 60 minutes.
- 62' Viery does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
- 65' Pedro Gabriel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
- 66' It’s gonna be a card for Pedro Gabriel.
- 67' Everton Ribeiro makes way for Rodrigo Nestor at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 72' A stunning finish from Mateo Sanabria — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' What a strike from Mateo Sanabria! The score is 2-1.
- 75' It’s gonna be a card for Nicolas Acevedo.
- 78' Bernardo Zortea gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Erick Noriega and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' That is a card for EC Bahia. Erick will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Vitor Ramon on 80.
- 84' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Gilberto is replaced by Caio Suassuna on 84 minute.
- 89' Andre catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gabriel Mec on 90.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Mateo Sanabria 60'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Caio Suassuna 84'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Everaldo 67'
- 22
- 14
- 33
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Iago Borduchi 60'
- 5
- 16
Bench
- 6
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 60'
- 34
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 67'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
- 15
- 44
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 60'
- 3
- 43
- 31
-
90
Caio Suassuna ↑ 84'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Gremio FBPA Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1
-
14
Marcos Rocha ↓ Vitor Ramon 59'
-
10
Willian ↓ Gabriel Mec 46'
- 95
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Bernardo Zortea 78'
- 3
- 44
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↓ Francis Amuzu 59'
- 43
- 54
- 33
Bench
- 4
- 38
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 60'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↑ 59'
- 21
- 77
- 11
- 24
-
32
Vitor Ramon ↑ 59'
- 39
-
50
Bernardo Zortea ↑ 78'
-
37
Gabriel Mec ↑ 46'
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Anderson Martins | 1 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
| Jael | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
50%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.