Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

4 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	7	14
2	Swansea City AFC	7	14
3	West Bromwich Albion FC	7	14
4	Middlesbrough FC	6	13
5	Queens Park Rangers FC	7	12
6	Charlton Athletic FC	7	12
7	Southampton FC	7	10
8	Birmingham City FC	7	10
9	Stoke City FC	7	10
10	Bristol City FC	6	10
11	Norwich City FC	7	9
12	Millwall FC	6	9
13	Sheffield United FC	6	9
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	5	8
15	Blackburn Rovers FC	7	8
16	Lincoln City FC	6	8
17	Watford FC	7	8
18	Portsmouth FC	6	7
19	Wrexham AFC	7	7
20	Bolton Wanderers FC	7	7
21	Cardiff City FC	7	4
22	Derby County FC	7	4
23	Preston North End FC	7	3
24	Burnley FC	7	3

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W
25 Oct	Coventry City FC	A	1–3	L
22 Oct	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Watford FC
#22	Position	#17
4	Points	8
7	Played	7
1 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
6	Scored	7
13	Conceded	9
-7	GD	-2
0.57	PPG	1.14
14%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts). Watford FC are 17th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
2-3 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Will Hughes	1
William Troost-Ekong	1
Ebou Adams	1
Moussa Sissoko	1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Edo Kayembe	1
Imran Louza	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-10-25 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-10-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-10-25 Coventry City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2025-10-22 Watford FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.17 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Watford FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC29% Draw28% Watford FC43%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Watford FC

71%

Derby County FC or Watford FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC21% Draw47% Watford FC32%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

9.3%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 2

7.7%

1 – 0

6.8%

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

4.5%

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	21%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.