Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Dean Whitestone
- Referee Nigel Lugg
- Referee Tim Robinson
- Referee Andrew Fox
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | Coventry City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Jan | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 57 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 67 |
| 65 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | +8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 30% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vicarage Road Stadium!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martyn Waghorn made 385 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' The 37-year-old Lee Gregory has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Joao Pedro makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 19.
- 20' Will Hughes is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 21' Will Hughes does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
- 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 31' Max Bird has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' Tom Cleverley picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 45.
- 50' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 58' Lee Gregory has so much to prove this time. He replaces Graeme Shinnie on 58 minute.
- 60' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Nathaniel Chalobah exits the field as Dan Gosling enters on 60.
- 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 76' Watford FC ring the changes. Ken Sema has done his job and it is now time for Philip Zinckernagel to step up.
- 77' GOAL! William Troost-Ekong fires home to make it 3-0!
- 81' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Louie Sibley comes on to replace Martyn Waghorn.
- 86' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
- 90' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Philip Zinckernagel 76'
- 15
- 8
-
19
Will Hughes ↓ Ben Wilmot 76'
- 21
- 14
- 23
- 5
- 26
- 10
Bench
-
6
Ben Wilmot ↑ 76'
- 18
-
16
Dan Gosling ↑ 60'
- 17
- 33
- 31
- 25
- 3
-
7
Philip Zinckernagel ↑ 76'
Coach
Xisco Munoz
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 8
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Louie Sibley 81'
- 1
- 12
- 6
-
23
Patrick Roberts ↓ Kamil Jozwiak 58'
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Lee Gregory 58'
- 13
- 26
- 38
Bench
- 34
-
19
Lee Gregory ↑ 58'
- 21
- 3
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↑ 58'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 81'
- 15
- 37
- 40
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2021-02-19
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2021-02-16
Wycombe Wanderers FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2021-02-13
Derby County FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2021-02-03
Rotherham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2021-01-30
Derby County FC
1–0
Bristol City FC
W
2021-01-23
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

