Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Dean Whitestone
- Referee Nigel Lugg
- Referee Tim Robinson
- Referee Andrew Fox
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | Coventry City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Jan | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #22 |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 7 | Scored | 7 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| -3 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 25% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- 5' England international George Edmundson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Watford FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 19' What composure from Joao Pedro! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 20' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 21' What composure from Will Hughes! The England international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 26' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Graeme Shinnie suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 390 games and scored 457 goals.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 42' Watford FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 45' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
- 55' Watford FC have won 396 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 58' Derby County FC make a change. Graeme Shinnie trudges off to be replaced by Lee Gregory on 58 minutes.
- 60' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dan Gosling is hanging Nathaniel Chalobah on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 70' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 76' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ken Sema exits the field as Philip Zinckernagel enters on 76.
- 77' William Troost-Ekong makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Watford FC are in front.
- 81' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Martyn Waghorn by Louie Sibley on 81 minute.
- 86' Louie Sibley has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 390 appearances.
- 90' Poor challenge from Nathan Byrne. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Watford FC take all three points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Philip Zinckernagel 76'
- 15
- 8
-
19
Will Hughes ↓ Ben Wilmot 76'
- 21
- 14
- 23
- 5
- 26
- 10
Bench
-
6
Ben Wilmot ↑ 76'
- 18
-
16
Dan Gosling ↑ 60'
- 17
- 33
- 31
- 25
- 3
-
7
Philip Zinckernagel ↑ 76'
Coach
Xisco Munoz
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 8
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Louie Sibley 81'
- 1
- 12
- 6
-
23
Patrick Roberts ↓ Kamil Jozwiak 58'
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Lee Gregory 58'
- 13
- 26
- 38
Bench
- 34
-
19
Lee Gregory ↑ 58'
- 21
- 3
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↑ 58'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 81'
- 15
- 37
- 40
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2021-02-19
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2021-02-16
Wycombe Wanderers FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2021-02-13
Derby County FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2021-02-03
Rotherham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2021-01-30
Derby County FC
1–0
Bristol City FC
W
2021-01-23
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.65
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + Watford FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

