Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Fri 19 Feb 2021 · 19:45 UTC Vicarage Road Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Vicarage Road Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Referee Nigel Lugg
  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Referee Andrew Fox

Head-to-Head

6
Watford FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Derby County FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
13 Feb Bristol City FC H 6–0 W
06 Feb Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
01 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
26 Jan Millwall FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Watford FC A 1–2 L
16 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
13 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
03 Feb Rotherham United FC A 0–3 L
30 Jan Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
23 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#16 Position #8
57 Points 69
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
53 Scored 67
65 Conceded 59
-12 GD +8
1.24 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vicarage Road Stadium!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martyn Waghorn made 385 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The 37-year-old Lee Gregory has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 19' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Joao Pedro makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 19.
  • 20' Will Hughes is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 21' Will Hughes does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
  • 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' Max Bird has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' Tom Cleverley picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 58' Lee Gregory has so much to prove this time. He replaces Graeme Shinnie on 58 minute.
  • 60' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Nathaniel Chalobah exits the field as Dan Gosling enters on 60.
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 75' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 76' Watford FC ring the changes. Ken Sema has done his job and it is now time for Philip Zinckernagel to step up.
  • 77' GOAL! William Troost-Ekong fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 81' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Louie Sibley comes on to replace Martyn Waghorn.
  • 86' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 90' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC51% Draw25% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC35% Draw45% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.