Saturday , 14 November 2026

Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 3–0 W
25 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–3 L
22 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
04 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
01 Oct Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Watford FC A 0–3 L
25 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
17 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
04 Oct Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
30 Sep Stoke City FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Watford FC Middlesbrough FC
#20 Position #2
15 Points 29
15 Played 15
4 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
13 Scored 30
23 Conceded 19
-10 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.93
27% Win % 53%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC42% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
58%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC27% Draw46% Middlesbrough FC27%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.