Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #22 |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 7 | Scored | 7 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| -3 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 25% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Watford FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
- 2' A stunning finish from Ebou Adams — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 7' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Collins, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. Watford FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 22' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 27' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 31' Assisted by Matthew Pollock with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vakoun Issouf Bayo makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 41' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Giorgi Chakvetadze was booked on 45.
- 50' The referee calls foul for Ebou Adams. He receives a card.
- 55' Francisco Sierralta, a Chile , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' Another change for Watford FC made on 57 minute. Yasser Larouci leaves to be changed by Ken Sema.
- 62' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 65' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Craig Forsyth is hanging Callum Elder on the field on 65 minute.
- 66' Liam Thompson is replacing Kenzo Goudmijn for the Derby County FC side.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' Watford FC ring the changes. Edo Kayembe has done his job and it is now time for Kwadwo Baah to step up.
- 74' Watford FC make a change. James Morris trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Porteous on 74 minutes.
- 75' Thomas Barkhuizen is replacing Nathaniel Mendez-Laing for the Derby County FC side.
- 76' Moussa Sissoko puts Watford FC on the lead.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 389 games and scored 457 goals.
- 83' Derby County FC make a change. Jerry Yates trudges off to be replaced by James Collins on 83 minutes.
- 84' Another change for Derby County FC made on 84 minute. Ryan Nyambe leaves to be changed by Joe Ward.
- 85' Mileta Rajovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 85 minute.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Sonny Bradley.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Mileta Rajovic. He receives a card.
- 2-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 73'
- 8
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ken Sema 57'
-
22
James Morris ↓ Ryan Porteous 74'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 57'
- 23
- 7
-
5
Ryan Porteous ↑ 74'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 73'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 66'
- 11
- 19
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Joe Ward 84'
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 83'
- 5
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 65'
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 65'
- 14
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 84'
-
9
James Collins ↑ 83'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 66'
- 13
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 75'
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-24
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2024-08-17
Derby County FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

