Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 18,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Ebou Adams
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' 1–1
Moussa Sissoko 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Derby County FC H 2–1 W
17 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
10 Aug Millwall FC A 3–2 W
04 May Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#20 Position #22
8 Points 5
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
7 Scored 7
10 Conceded 14
-3 GD -7
1.00 PPG 0.63
25% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC38% Draw49% Derby County FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.