Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 57 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 67 |
| 65 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | +8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 30% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' A stunning finish from Ebou Adams — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kayden Jackson made 358 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 27' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 31' GOAL! Vakoun Issouf Bayo scores on 31. Assisted by Matthew Pollock
- 36' Daniel Bachmann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
- 41' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Giorgi Chakvetadze argues furiously but the card stands.
- 50' Ebou Adams has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 57' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Yasser Larouci by Ken Sema on 57 minute.
- 62' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 65' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Callum Elder departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
- 66' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Liam Thompson comes on to replace Kenzo Goudmijn.
- 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Nyambe suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Edo Kayembe by Kwadwo Baah on 73 minute.
- 74' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. James Morris is replaced by Ryan Porteous on 74 minute.
- 75' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen on 75 minute.
- 76' Moussa Sissoko makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Watford FC are in front.
- 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 83' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jerry Yates is replaced by James Collins on 83 minute.
- 84' The crowd applauds Ryan Nyambe as he leaves the pitch. Joe Ward steps in for Derby County FC.
- 85' Mileta Rajovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 85 minute mark.
- 89' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 89.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mileta Rajovic argues furiously but the card stands.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 73'
- 8
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ken Sema 57'
-
22
James Morris ↓ Ryan Porteous 74'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 57'
- 23
- 7
-
5
Ryan Porteous ↑ 74'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 73'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 66'
- 11
- 19
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Joe Ward 84'
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 83'
- 5
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 65'
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 65'
- 14
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 84'
-
9
James Collins ↑ 83'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 66'
- 13
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 75'
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-24
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2024-08-17
Derby County FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

