Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 18,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Ebou Adams
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' 1–1
Moussa Sissoko 76' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Derby County FC H 2–1 W
17 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
10 Aug Millwall FC A 3–2 W
04 May Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#19 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Watford FC are 19th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.4 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC51% Draw34% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC28% Draw64% Derby County FC8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.1%
1 – 0
23.2%
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
1.9%
0 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
1.7%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 29% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
67%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.