Saturday , 14 November 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 18,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Ebou Adams
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' 1–1
Moussa Sissoko 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Derby County FC H 2–1 W
17 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
10 Aug Millwall FC A 3–2 W
04 May Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#20 Position #23
15 Points 10
15 Played 15
4 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
13 Scored 14
23 Conceded 30
-10 GD -16
1.00 PPG 0.67
27% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 2' The Gambia Ebou Adams breaks the deadlock on 2 minutes. 0-1!
  • 7' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 12' James Morris, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 17' Sonny Bradley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' GOAL! Vakoun Issouf Bayo scores on 31. Assisted by Matthew Pollock
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Giorgi Chakvetadze catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 50' Ebou Adams is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Ken Sema on, Yasser Larouci off on 57 minutes.
  • 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 65' The whistle greets Callum Elder as he departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Liam Thompson comes on to replace Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 73' Edo Kayembe makes way for Kwadwo Baah at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 74' The whistle greets James Morris as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Porteous.
  • 75' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for Thomas Barkhuizen at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 76' What a moment for Moussa Sissoko! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 81' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. James Collins steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 84' The whistle greets Ryan Nyambe as he departs to be replaced by Joe Ward.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
  • 89' Sonny Bradley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • 90' Mileta Rajovic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC38% Draw47% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 24% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.