Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #23 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 13 | Scored | 14 |
| 23 | Conceded | 30 |
| -10 | GD | -16 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 27% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
- 2' The Gambia Ebou Adams breaks the deadlock on 2 minutes. 0-1!
- 7' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 12' James Morris, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 17' Sonny Bradley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' GOAL! Vakoun Issouf Bayo scores on 31. Assisted by Matthew Pollock
- 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Giorgi Chakvetadze catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 50' Ebou Adams is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Ken Sema on, Yasser Larouci off on 57 minutes.
- 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 65' The whistle greets Callum Elder as he departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
- 66' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Liam Thompson comes on to replace Kenzo Goudmijn.
- 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 73' Edo Kayembe makes way for Kwadwo Baah at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 74' The whistle greets James Morris as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Porteous.
- 75' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for Thomas Barkhuizen at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 76' What a moment for Moussa Sissoko! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
- 81' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 83' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. James Collins steps in for Derby County FC.
- 84' The whistle greets Ryan Nyambe as he departs to be replaced by Joe Ward.
- 85' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
- 89' Sonny Bradley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
- 90' Mileta Rajovic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 73'
- 8
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ken Sema 57'
-
22
James Morris ↓ Ryan Porteous 74'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 57'
- 23
- 7
-
5
Ryan Porteous ↑ 74'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 73'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 66'
- 11
- 19
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Joe Ward 84'
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 83'
- 5
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 65'
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 65'
- 14
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 84'
-
9
James Collins ↑ 83'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 66'
- 13
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 75'
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-24
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2024-08-17
Derby County FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

