Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 18,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Ebou Adams
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' 1–1
Moussa Sissoko 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Derby County FC H 2–1 W
17 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
10 Aug Millwall FC A 3–2 W
04 May Middlesbrough FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#16 Position #8
57 Points 69
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
53 Scored 67
65 Conceded 59
-12 GD +8
1.24 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 2' A stunning finish from Ebou Adams — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kayden Jackson made 358 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' GOAL! Vakoun Issouf Bayo scores on 31. Assisted by Matthew Pollock
  • 36' Daniel Bachmann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
  • 41' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Giorgi Chakvetadze argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 50' Ebou Adams has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Yasser Larouci by Ken Sema on 57 minute.
  • 62' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 65' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Callum Elder departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Liam Thompson comes on to replace Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Nyambe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Edo Kayembe by Kwadwo Baah on 73 minute.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. James Morris is replaced by Ryan Porteous on 74 minute.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen on 75 minute.
  • 76' Moussa Sissoko makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Watford FC are in front.
  • 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jerry Yates is replaced by James Collins on 83 minute.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Ryan Nyambe as he leaves the pitch. Joe Ward steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 85' Mileta Rajovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 85 minute mark.
  • 89' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 89.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mileta Rajovic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC50% Draw26% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC34% Draw46% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.