Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #23 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Watford FC are 19th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Vicarage Road.
- 2' Ebou Adams doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 7' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 12' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 17' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 31' Vakoun Issouf Bayo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
- 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 55' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 57' Ken Sema is replacing Yasser Larouci for the Watford FC side.
- 62' Tom Dele-Bashiru, a Nigeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 65' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Callum Elder by Craig Forsyth on 65 minute.
- 66' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Liam Thompson comes on to replace Kenzo Goudmijn.
- 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 73' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Edo Kayembe by Kwadwo Baah on 73 minute.
- 74' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. James Morris is replaced by Ryan Porteous on 74 minute.
- 75' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
- 76' Moussa Sissoko has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
- 81' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 83' James Collins is replacing Jerry Yates for the Derby County FC side.
- 84' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Nyambe is withdrawn and Joe Ward gets his opportunity.
- 85' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Mileta Rajovic comes on to replace Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Sonny Bradley.
- 90' Mileta Rajovic was booked on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 1
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 73'
- 8
- 19
- 6
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ken Sema 57'
-
22
James Morris ↓ Ryan Porteous 74'
- 45
Bench
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 57'
- 23
- 7
-
5
Ryan Porteous ↑ 74'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 73'
- 11
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 85'
- 20
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 66'
- 11
- 19
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Joe Ward 84'
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 83'
- 5
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 65'
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 65'
- 14
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 84'
-
9
James Collins ↑ 83'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 66'
- 13
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 75'
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-24
Watford FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2024-08-17
Derby County FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.4
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 1.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 2.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 3.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.1%
1 – 0
23.2%
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
1.9%
0 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
1.7%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 13% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 29% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 11% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
67%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

