Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
- Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Watford FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Leyton Orient FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| 04 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Dec | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Derby County FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Jan | Fulham FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #16 |
| 69 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 67 | Scored | 53 |
| 59 | Conceded | 65 |
| +8 | GD | -12 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 43% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Watford FC.
- 1' The referee shows Watford FC player a card on 1.
- 4' Imran Louza makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Watford FC are in front.
- 9' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 14' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 19' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Callum Elder on 19 minutes.
- 24' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 29' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Jeremy Ngakia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 31' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 36' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 41' Ebou Adams has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Watford FC ring the changes. Tom Dele-Bashiru has done his job and it is now time for Moussa Sissoko to step up.
- 51' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 62' Corey Blackett-Taylor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kayden Jackson at the 62 minute mark.
- 64' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Yasser Larouci comes on to replace Jeremy Ngakia.
- 66' Edo Kayembe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 66 minutes.
- 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 74' Craig Forsyth is replacing Callum Elder for the Derby County FC side.
- 76' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Ryan Andrews on, James Abankwah off on 76 minutes.
- 78' The crowd applauds Kwadwo Baah as he leaves the pitch. Angelo Ogbonna steps in for Watford FC.
- 82' Joe Ward is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kane Wilson at the 82 minute mark.
- 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Francisco Sierralta argues furiously but the card stands.
- Full Time. Watford FC beats Derby County FC
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 74'
- 8
- 11
- 19
-
2
Kane Wilson ↓ Joe Ward 82'
- 35
- 10
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 74'
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 74'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 74'
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 62'
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 82'
- 31
- 9
- 16
- 7
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 74'
Coach
Paul Warne
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
- 3
- 39
- 19
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Angelo Ogbonna 78'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Yasser Larouci 64'
-
25
James Abankwah ↓ Ryan Andrews 76'
- 11
Bench
- 7
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↑ 46'
-
21
Angelo Ogbonna ↑ 78'
- 5
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 64'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 76'
- 40
- 53
- 20
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2025-01-18
Derby County FC
0–2
Watford FC
L
2025-01-14
Leyton Orient FC
6–5
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-04
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-01
Sheffield Wednesday FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-12-29
Derby County FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2024-12-26
Derby County FC
2–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Watford FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Watford FC
65%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.