Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Derby County FC
0 – 2
Full Time
Watford FC
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,040 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Imran Louza
0–2 66' Edo Kayembe
Y 1' James Abankwah
Callum Elder 19' Y
Y 31' Jeremy Ngakia
Y 90' Francisco Sierralta

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

6
Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
Watford FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Derby County FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
09 Jan Fulham FC A 1–4 L
04 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Watford FC
#22 Position #20
5 Points 8
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 4
7 Scored 7
14 Conceded 10
-7 GD -3
0.63 PPG 1.00
13% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Pride Park Stadium as Derby County FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 1' James Abankwah is having his name booked by the referee on 1.
  • 4' What composure from Imran Louza! The Morocco international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 9' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 14' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 19' It’s gonna be a card for Callum Elder.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Watford FC come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Jeremy Ngakia.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' The whistle greets Tom Dele-Bashiru as he departs to be replaced by Moussa Sissoko.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' Rocco Vata, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 62' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kayden Jackson by Corey Blackett-Taylor on 62 minute.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Jeremy Ngakia as he leaves the pitch. Yasser Larouci steps in for Watford FC.
  • 66' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Edo Kayembe makes it 0-2.
  • 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Craig Forsyth is hanging Callum Elder on the field on 74 minute.
  • 76' Watford FC ring the changes. James Abankwah has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Andrews to step up.
  • 78' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Kwadwo Baah by Angelo Ogbonna on 78 minute.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kane Wilson is replaced by Joe Ward.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ebou Adams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Francisco Sierralta.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Watford FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Watford FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tom Cleverley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Joao Pedro 2
Moussa Sissoko 1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 1
Edo Kayembe 1
Imran Louza 1
Will Hughes 1
William Troost-Ekong 1
Ebou Adams 1

Head to Head

2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Derby County FC Form

2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC L 2025-01-14 Leyton Orient FC 6–5 Derby County FC L 2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-26 Derby County FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-01-09 Fulham FC 4–1 Watford FC L 2025-01-04 Watford FC 1–2 Sheffield United FC L 2025-01-01 Queens Park Rangers FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2024-12-29 Watford FC 1–2 Cardiff City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC26% Draw30% Watford FC44%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Watford FC
74%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC18% Draw52% Watford FC30%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 24% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.