Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,040 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Imran Louza
0–2 66' Edo Kayembe

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Derby County FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
09 Jan Fulham FC A 1–4 L
04 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Watford FC
#23 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Watford FC are 19th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Watford FC.
  • 1' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 1.
  • 4' Watford FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Imran Louza on 4.
  • 9' Nigeria international Tom Dele-Bashiru has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 14' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 19' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Callum Elder gets a card.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jeremy Ngakia on 31.
  • 36' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Nelson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Watford FCMoussa Sissoko on, Tom Dele-Bashiru off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Cleverley might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 62' Corey Blackett-Taylor gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Kayden Jackson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Watford FC ring the changes. Jeremy Ngakia has done his job and it is now time for Yasser Larouci to step up.
  • 66' Goal! Edo Kayembe scores his 17 goal in 390 matches.
  • 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Moussa Sissoko is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Derby County FCCraig Forsyth on, Callum Elder off on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces James Abankwah and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Angelo Ogbonna. He replaces Kwadwo Baah on 78 minute.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Joe Ward comes on to replace Kane Wilson.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Francisco Sierralta on 90 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.45 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Watford FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC21% Draw39% Watford FC40%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 36%
64%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Watford FC
79%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
61%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC10% Draw67% Watford FC23%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.3%
0 – 1
21.2%
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
2.5%
2 – 1
2.4%
0 – 3
2.2%
1 – 3
1.3%
2 – 2
1.1%
0 – 4
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 14% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 26% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
64%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.