Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Derby County FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' Imran Louza

0–2 66' Edo Kayembe

Y 1' James Abankwah

Callum Elder 19' Y

Y 31' Jeremy Ngakia

Y 90' Francisco Sierralta

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg
Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Watford FC	H	0–2	L
14 Jan	Leyton Orient FC	A	5–6	L
04 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	0–1	L
01 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–4	L
29 Dec	Leeds United FC	H	0–1	L
26 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Derby County FC	A	2–0	W
14 Jan	Cardiff City FC	A	1–1	D
09 Jan	Fulham FC	A	1–4	L
04 Jan	Sheffield United FC	H	1–2	L
01 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
29 Dec	Cardiff City FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Watford FC
#23	Position	#20
10	Points	15
15	Played	15
2 / 4 / 9	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 8
14	Scored	13
30	Conceded	23
-16	GD	-10
0.67	PPG	1.00
13%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
1' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
4' Imran Louza has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
9' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vakoun Issouf Bayo made 11 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
14' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
19' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Callum Elder gets a card.
24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Edo Kayembe, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jeremy Ngakia.
36' Tom Dele-Bashiru, a Nigeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
41' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
46' Watford FC ring the changes. Tom Dele-Bashiru has done his job and it is now time for Moussa Sissoko to step up.
51' Derby County FC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
61' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
62' The supporters are chanting for Corey Blackett-Taylor. He replaces Kayden Jackson on 62 minute.
64' The whistle greets Jeremy Ngakia as he departs to be replaced by Yasser Larouci.
66' What a moment for Edo Kayembe! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
71' Ben Osborn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
74' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Callum Elder by Craig Forsyth on 74 minute.
76' Time for substitution for Watford FC. James Abankwah is replaced by Ryan Andrews.
78' Angelo Ogbonna is replacing Kwadwo Baah for the Watford FC side.
82' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Ward is hanging Kane Wilson on the field on 82 minute.
87' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Francisco Sierralta.
0-2 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 74'
8
Ben Osborn
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ Dajaune Brown 74'
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Corey Blackett-Taylor 62'
2
Kane Wilson ↓ Joe Ward 82'
35
Curtis Nelson
10
Jerry Yates
32
Ebou Adams
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 74'
6
Eiran Cashin
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Watford FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

23
Jonathan Bond
3
Francisco Sierralta
39
Edo Kayembe
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo
6
Matthew Pollock
10
Imran Louza
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Moussa Sissoko 46'
34
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Angelo Ogbonna 78'
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Yasser Larouci 64'
25
James Abankwah ↓ Ryan Andrews 76'
11
Rocco Vata

Bench

Coach Tom Cleverley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Imran Louza	1
Will Hughes	1
William Troost-Ekong	1
Ebou Adams	1
Moussa Sissoko	1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Edo Kayembe	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.01 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC28% Draw30% Watford FC42%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Watford FC

72%

Derby County FC or Watford FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC20% Draw50% Watford FC30%

Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 1

11.6%

0 – 0

11.5%

1 – 2

8.4%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

8.3%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

4.6%

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.9%

0 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	16%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	22%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Watford FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

Watford FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Clean Sheet