Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
21 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
18 Oct Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
04 Oct Southampton FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Derby County FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
18 Oct Millwall FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
01 Oct Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
27 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Queens Park Rangers FC
#8 Position #15
69 Points 58
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 16 / 10 / 20
67 Scored 61
59 Conceded 73
+8 GD -12
1.50 PPG 1.26
43% Win % 35%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Queens Park Rangers FC are 15th (58 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Queens Park Rangers FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Queens Park Rangers FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw28% Queens Park Rangers FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Queens Park Rangers FC
55%
Derby County FC or Queens Park Rangers FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC31% Draw48% Queens Park Rangers FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Queens Park Rangers FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.