Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Fri 16 Oct 2020 · 18:45 UTC iPro Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'
George Evans 58' Y
Y 90' Ben Wilmot

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FCChampionship at iPro Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Referee James Wilson
  • Referee Rob Merchant

Head-to-Head

6
Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Watford FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
26 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–4 L
19 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
12 Sep Reading FC H 0–2 L
22 Jul Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Derby County FC A 1–0 W
03 Oct Reading FC A 0–1 L
26 Sep Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
11 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
26 Jul Arsenal FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Watford FC
#8 Position #16
69 Points 57
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
67 Scored 53
59 Conceded 65
+8 GD -12
1.50 PPG 1.24
43% Win % 30%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Watford FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' William Troost-Ekong is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
  • 15' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Glenn Murray has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' England international Nathaniel Chalobah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
  • 40' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phillip Cocu will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. George Evans will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Duane Holmes as he leaves the pitch. Tom Lawrence steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 69' Max Bird has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 71' William Troost-Ekong makes way for Craig Cathcart at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 76' Joao Pedro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the centre-forward.
  • 80' Jahmal Hector-Ingram gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Graeme Shinnie and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Craig Cathcart, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Morgan Whittaker comes on to replace Lee Buchanan.
  • 88' Quina makes way for James Garner at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 90' The referee shows Watford FC player a Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw31% Watford FC38%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Watford FC
69%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC22% Draw52% Watford FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.