Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Referee Tim Robinson
- Referee James Wilson
- Referee Rob Merchant
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Reading FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | Luton Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | Arsenal FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #20 |
| 5 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 7 | Scored | 7 |
| 14 | Conceded | 10 |
| -7 | GD | -3 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 13% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Watford FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' England international Nathan Byrne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phillip Cocu will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 50' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 58' A moment of madness from George Evans on 58 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 63' Curtis Davies, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 64' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Lawrence is hanging Duane Holmes on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
- 71' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. William Troost-Ekong is replaced by Craig Cathcart on 71 minute.
- 76' A stunning finish from Joao Pedro — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 80' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Jahmal Hector-Ingram comes on to replace Graeme Shinnie.
- 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 363 games and scored 396 goals.
- 86' Morgan Whittaker is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lee Buchanan at the 86 minute mark.
- 88' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Quina exits the field as James Garner enters on 88.
- 90' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Ben Wilmot gets a Yellow card.
- Another three points for Watford FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 33
- 8
- 22
-
25
Duane Holmes ↓ Tom Lawrence 64'
- 1
- 12
- 4
- 32
-
26
Lee Buchanan ↓ Morgan Whittaker 86'
- 38
Bench
- 21
- 3
- 2
-
10
Tom Lawrence ↑ 64'
- 6
-
18
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 86'
-
49
Jahmal Hector-Ingram ↑ 80'
Coach
Phillip Cocu
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 6
- 1
- 27
- 8
- 21
- 14
-
20
Quina ↓ James Garner 88'
- 5
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Glenn Murray 86'
- 3
Bench
-
15
Craig Cathcart ↑ 71'
-
17
Glenn Murray ↑ 86'
- 47
- 26
-
16
James Garner ↑ 88'
- 44
- 52
Coach
Vladimir Ivic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.55
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Watford FC
79%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 2
11.5%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 0
2.5%
2 – 2
2%
0 – 4
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 12% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

