Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Referee Tim Robinson
- Referee James Wilson
- Referee Rob Merchant
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Reading FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | Luton Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | Arsenal FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #20 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 14 | Scored | 13 |
| 30 | Conceded | 23 |
| -16 | GD | -10 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 13% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Craig Cathcart made 373 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 400 games and scored 466 goals.
- 50' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Wayne Rooney has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' Ben Wilmot has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' George Evans was booked on 58.
- 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Femenia Far suffering a number of foals already.
- 64' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Tom Lawrence on, Duane Holmes off on 64 minutes.
- 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 71' The whistle greets William Troost-Ekong as he departs to be replaced by Craig Cathcart.
- 76' What a strike from Joao Pedro! The score is 0-1.
- 80' The whistle greets Graeme Shinnie as he departs to be replaced by Jahmal Hector-Ingram.
- 85' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vladimir Ivic might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 86' Morgan Whittaker is replacing Lee Buchanan for the Derby County FC side.
- 88' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Garner is hanging Quina on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 33
- 8
- 22
-
25
Duane Holmes ↓ Tom Lawrence 64'
- 1
- 12
- 4
- 32
-
26
Lee Buchanan ↓ Morgan Whittaker 86'
- 38
Bench
- 21
- 3
- 2
-
10
Tom Lawrence ↑ 64'
- 6
-
18
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 86'
-
49
Jahmal Hector-Ingram ↑ 80'
Coach
Phillip Cocu
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 6
- 1
- 27
- 8
- 21
- 14
-
20
Quina ↓ James Garner 88'
- 5
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Glenn Murray 86'
- 3
Bench
-
15
Craig Cathcart ↑ 71'
-
17
Glenn Murray ↑ 86'
- 47
- 26
-
16
James Garner ↑ 88'
- 44
- 52
Coach
Vladimir Ivic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.68
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Watford FC
77%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 4
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 14% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 26% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.