Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Hull City AFC

Tue 4 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship .

Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stephen Martin (England)

4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Hull City AFC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W
18 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	0–1	L
04 Oct	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Derby County FC	A	1–2	L
01 Nov	Norwich City FC	A	2–0	W
25 Oct	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Leicester City FC	H	2–1	W
18 Oct	Birmingham City FC	A	3–2	W
04 Oct	Sheffield United FC	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Hull City AFC for another epic battle.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Jarrod Bowen	2
Todd Kane	1
Keane Lewis-Potter	1
Martyn Waghorn	1
Dajaune Brown	1
Florian Jozefzoon	1
Xavier Simons	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-10-25 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-10-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W 2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC D

Hull City AFC Form

2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC L 2025-11-01 Norwich City FC 0–2 Hull City AFC W 2025-10-25 Hull City AFC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-10-21 Hull City AFC 2–1 Leicester City FC W 2025-10-18 Birmingham City FC 2–3 Hull City AFC W 2025-10-04 Hull City AFC 1–0 Sheffield United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.39 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 Hull City AFC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC49% Draw27% Hull City AFC24%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Hull City AFC

51%

Derby County FC or Hull City AFC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC31% Draw49% Hull City AFC20%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

1 – 0

11.4%

0 – 0

11.1%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

1 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Hull City AFC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	22%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.