Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Hull City AFC

Tue 4 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stephen Martin (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Hull City AFC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W
18 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	0–1	L
04 Oct	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Derby County FC	A	1–2	L
01 Nov	Norwich City FC	A	2–0	W
25 Oct	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Leicester City FC	H	2–1	W
18 Oct	Birmingham City FC	A	3–2	W
04 Oct	Sheffield United FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Hull City AFC
#8	Position	#6
69	Points	73
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	21 / 10 / 15
67	Scored	70
59	Conceded	66
+8	GD	+4
1.50	PPG	1.59
43%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Jarrod Bowen	2
Festy Ebosele	1
Florian Jozefzoon	1
Craig Forsyth	1
Todd Kane	1
Keane Lewis-Potter	1
Martyn Waghorn	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-10-25 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-10-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W 2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC D

Hull City AFC Form

2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC L 2025-11-01 Norwich City FC 0–2 Hull City AFC W 2025-10-25 Hull City AFC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-10-21 Hull City AFC 2–1 Leicester City FC W 2025-10-18 Birmingham City FC 2–3 Hull City AFC W 2025-10-04 Hull City AFC 1–0 Sheffield United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.67 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 Hull City AFC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC50% Draw25% Hull City AFC25%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Hull City AFC

50%

Derby County FC or Hull City AFC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC34% Draw45% Hull City AFC21%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

7.7%

0 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

6.6%

0 – 1

5.9%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Hull City AFC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.