Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Nov Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
25 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
21 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Derby County FC A 3–2 W
07 Nov Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
04 Nov Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 3–0 W
25 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–3 L
22 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Watford FC
#23 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Watford FC are 19th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.73 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Watford FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC27% Draw35% Watford FC38%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Watford FC
73%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC17% Draw60% Watford FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
21.9%
0 – 1
16.2%
1 – 1
13.9%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 18% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 23% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.