Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W
25 Oct	Coventry City FC	A	1–3	L
22 Oct	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Watford FC
#22	Position	#20
5	Points	8
8	Played	8
1 / 2 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 4
7	Scored	7
14	Conceded	10
-7	GD	-3
0.63	PPG	1.00
13%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Edo Kayembe	1
Imran Louza	1
Will Hughes	1
William Troost-Ekong	1
Ebou Adams	1
Moussa Sissoko	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-10-25 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-10-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-10-25 Coventry City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2025-10-22 Watford FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.16 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.42 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Watford FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC30% Draw29% Watford FC41%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Watford FC

70%

Derby County FC or Watford FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC22% Draw48% Watford FC30%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 1

9.7%

0 – 0

9.6%

1 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

7.7%

0 – 2

7.5%

2 – 1

2 – 2

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	17%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	21%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.