Wednesday , 19 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Nov Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
25 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
21 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Derby County FC A 3–2 W
07 Nov Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
04 Nov Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 3–0 W
25 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–3 L
22 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Watford FC
#24 Position #11
0 Points 3
1 Played 1
0 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 0
1 Scored 2
2 Conceded 1
-1 GD +1
0.00 PPG 3.00
0% Win % 100%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Derby County FC are 24th (0 pts). Watford FC are 11th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC22% Draw23% Watford FC55%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Watford FC
78%
Derby County FC or Watford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC16% Draw39% Watford FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 1
4.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 21% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
11%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.