Derby County FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2020-10-16 Derby County FC 0–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
21 Oct	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Derby County FC	A	3–2	W
07 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–0	W
25 Oct	Coventry City FC	A	1–3	L
22 Oct	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Watford FC
#8	Position	#16
69	Points	57
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	14 / 15 / 17
67	Scored	53
59	Conceded	65
+8	GD	-12
1.50	PPG	1.24
43%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Watford FC gets underway.
The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Will Hughes	1
William Troost-Ekong	1
Ebou Adams	1
Moussa Sissoko	1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Edo Kayembe	1
Imran Louza	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-10-25 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-10-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W

Watford FC Form

2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC W 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-11-04 Ipswich Town FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-10-25 Coventry City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2025-10-22 Watford FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.64 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Watford FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC38% Draw27% Watford FC35%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Watford FC

62%

Derby County FC or Watford FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC31% Draw44% Watford FC25%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.7%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

7.6%

1 – 0

6.6%

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.