Saturday , 10 October 2026

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2026-27
Vitória SC
1 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques HT 45' · FT 45'
Gustavo Silva 4' 1–0
Goncalo Nogueira 28' Y
Miguel Nogueira 38' Y
Y 90' Daniel Jr.

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Match Details

  • Referee Pedro Ramalho
  • Assistant 1 Diogo Pereira (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2 Francisco Pereira (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 18
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
6 FC Arouca 7 11
7 Sporting Clube de Braga 7 11
8 Gil Vicente FC 7 11
9 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
10 Moreirense FC 8 8
11 FC Alverca 7 8
12 CS Marítimo 7 8
13 FC Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

4
2
3
Vitória SC 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2026-08-23 Vitória SC 1–0 CD Nacional 2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional

Recent Form

Vitória SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug CD Nacional H 1–0 W
14 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–3 L
08 Aug FC Arouca H 0–1 L
16 May CD Nacional A 0–2 L
11 May Casa Pia AC H 0–1 L
04 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–5 L
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Vitória SC A 0–1 L
16 Aug GD Estoril Praia H 2–0 W
10 Aug CD Santa Clara A 2–2 D
16 May Vitória SC H 2–0 W
11 May CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
02 May AVS H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Vitória SC CD Nacional
#14 Position #15
5 Points 4
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
5 Scored 7
8 Conceded 15
-3 GD -8
0.71 PPG 0.57
14% Win % 14%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitória SC are 14th (5 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitória SC
Samu 1 G
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G
CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Vitoria SC have kicked off against CD Nacional. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 4' GOAL! Gustavo Silva scores on 4.
  • 9' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 19' Portugal international Joao Mendes has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 24' It looks surprising Vitoria SC does not make any changes. Thiago Balieiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' Goncalo Nogueira is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 33' It is a cagey affair so far. Vitoria SC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CD Nacional's compact 3-4-3.
  • 38' Miguel Nogueira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
  • 39' Vitoria SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Vitoria SC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 54' A quiet spell here at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. CD Nacional seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Wesley departs to be replaced by Daniel De la Cruz.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' Another substitution for Vitoria SC to replace Lohann Doucet by Beni on 63 minute.
  • 68' CD Nacional have won 113 goals from 273 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 69' CD Nacional make a change. Liziero trudges off to be replaced by Stavros Gavriel on 69 minutes.
  • 72' Matija Mitrovic is replacing Goncalo Nogueira for the Vitoria SC side.
  • 77' Ze Vitor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' The Vitoria SC manager makes a substitution. Gustavo Silva departs to be replaced by Telmo Arcanjo.
  • 80' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Markus Jensen departs to be replaced by Allen Obando.
  • 85' Miguel Baeza has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daniel Jr..
  • It finishes all square. Vitoria SC and CD Nacional share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

CD Nacional Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chuchu 2
Tiago Silva 2
Isaac Aguiar 1
Alhassan Ibrahim 1
Diogo Coelho 1
Chuchu 1
Ricardo Quaresma 1
Fuki Yamada 1

Head to Head

2026-08-23 Vitória SC 1–0 CD Nacional 2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional

Vitória SC Form

2026-08-23 Vitória SC 1–0 CD Nacional W 2026-08-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–2 Vitória SC L 2026-08-08 Vitória SC 0–1 FC Arouca L 2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC L 2026-05-11 Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia AC L 2026-05-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5–1 Vitória SC L

CD Nacional Form

2026-08-23 Vitória SC 1–0 CD Nacional L 2026-08-16 CD Nacional 2–0 GD Estoril Praia W 2026-08-10 CD Santa Clara 2–2 CD Nacional D 2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC W 2026-05-11 CD Santa Clara 2–0 CD Nacional L 2026-05-02 CD Nacional 1–2 AVS L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC46% Draw30% CD Nacional24%
Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Nacional
54%
Vitória SC or CD Nacional
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Vitória SC30% Draw53% CD Nacional17%
Actual: Vitória SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.