Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitória SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- Vitória SC 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | CD Nacional | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Nov | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Boavista FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Nov | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Vitória SC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #14 |
| 42 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 39 | Scored | 37 |
| 51 | Conceded | 45 |
| -12 | GD | -8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
Vitória SC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Vitória SC get us underway at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- 5' Tiago Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 35 appearances.
- 9' A goal from the Brazil international Isaac Aguiar! He fires home on 9 to make it 0-1!
- 14' Over 14 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ze Vitor on 18.
- 23' Oscar Rivas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 24' A stunning finish from Tiago Silva — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 29' The 27-year-old Gustavo Silva has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 34' Leo Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 44' Vitória SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Dyego Sousa gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Isaac Aguiar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' Nuno Santos doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 54' CD Nacional fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mikel Villanueva suffering a number of foals already.
- 64' Another change for Vitoria SC made on 64 minute. Samu leaves to be changed by Joao Mendes.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
- 74' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 77' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Arvin Appiah is replaced by Joao Aurelio.
- 78' Dieu Michel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaio Cesar at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 87' Ze Carlos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tiago Silva on 87 minute.
- 88' The whistle greets Gustavo Silva as he departs to be replaced by Telmo Arcanjo.
- 90' A moment of madness from Tomas Handel on 90 minutes earns him a card. Vitoria SC will be frustrated.
- 90' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Luis Esteves is withdrawn and Leo Santos gets his opportunity.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
Vitória SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 3
- 14
- 10
- 77
- 13
- 11
- 6
- 22
- 15
- 71
Bench
- 44
- 17
- 18
- 79
- 8
- 2
- 28
- 91
- 86
Coach
Rui Borges
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Daniel Penha 88'
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Joao Aurelio 77'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Chiheb Labidi 77'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Leo Santos 90'
- 22
- 38
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Dyego Sousa 46'
- 27
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 77'
- 18
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 46'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 88'
- 1
- 88
- 33
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 77'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Isaac Aguiar | 1 |
| Alhassan Ibrahim | 1 |
| Diogo Coelho | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Ricardo Quaresma | 1 |
| Fuki Yamada | 1 |
Head to Head
Vitória SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63
Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw
73%
Draw or CD Nacional
54%
Vitória SC or CD Nacional
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Vitória SC
| Handicap | Vitória SC covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

