Saturday , 14 November 2026

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Vitória SC
2 – 2
Full Time
CD Nacional
Mon 23 Dec 2024 · 18:45 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques 17,423 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Isaac Aguiar
Tiago Silva pen 24' 1–1
Nuno Santos 49' 2–1
2–2 90+3' Joao Aurelio
Y 18' Ze Vitor
Tomas Handel 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

4
2
3
Vitória SC 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional 2019-05-05 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2019-01-02 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC

Recent Form

Vitória SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec CD Nacional H 2–2 D
16 Dec Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
07 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–1 L
02 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 4–0 W
10 Nov CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
03 Nov Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec Vitória SC A 2–2 D
19 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
14 Dec Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
07 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Boavista FC H 0–0 D
10 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Vitória SC CD Nacional
#14 Position #13
9 Points 10
11 Played 11
2 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 7
11 Scored 11
12 Conceded 19
-1 GD -8
0.82 PPG 0.91
18% Win % 27%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitória SC are 14th (9 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitória SC
Arnel Jakupovic 2 G
Samu 1 G 1 A
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G
CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques as Vitória SC face off against CD Nacional in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 9' Goal! Isaac Aguiar scores his 3 goal in 489 matches.
  • 14' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' That looks like a foul for a card for Ze Vitor.
  • 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vitória SC that had 404 games and scored 378 goals.
  • 24' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tiago Silva makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Vitória SC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CD Nacional's compact 4-3-3.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alberto Baio suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' CD Nacional have won 116 goals from 276 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' Vitória SC is showing some good football. However, Vitória SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' CD Nacional ring the changes. Isaac Aguiar has done his job and it is now time for Dyego Sousa to step up.
  • 49' Nuno Santos does the damage! The net is bulging and Vitoria SC surge ahead!
  • 54' Vitória SC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against CD Nacional's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 59' Vitória SC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' Joao Mendes gets the nod from Vitoria SC. He replaces Samu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. CD Nacional seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 74' Vitória SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Gustavo Silva scoring 1 goals.
  • 77' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Arvin Appiah is withdrawn and Joao Aurelio gets his opportunity.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Vitoria SC — Dieu Michel on, Kaio Cesar off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Vitoria SC — Ze Carlos on, Tiago Silva off on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Vitoria SC make a change. Gustavo Silva trudges off to be replaced by Telmo Arcanjo on 88 minutes.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Tomas Handel.
  • 90' Leo Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Esteves at the 90 minute mark.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rui Borges

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chuchu 2
Tiago Silva 2
Nuno Santos 1
Toze 1
Joao Aurelio 1
Florent Hanin 1
Isaac Aguiar 1
Alhassan Ibrahim 1

Head to Head

2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional 2019-05-05 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2019-01-02 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC

Vitória SC Form

2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional D 2024-12-16 Rio Ave FC 2–2 Vitória SC D 2024-12-07 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1–0 Vitória SC L 2024-12-02 Vitória SC 4–0 Gil Vicente FC W 2024-11-10 CD Santa Clara 1–0 Vitória SC L 2024-11-03 Vitória SC 1–0 Moreirense FC W

CD Nacional Form

2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional D 2024-12-19 CD Nacional 0–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2024-12-14 CD Nacional 1–0 Moreirense FC W 2024-12-07 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2024-11-30 CD Nacional 0–0 Boavista FC D 2024-11-10 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–0 CD Nacional L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Vitória SC51% Draw26% CD Nacional23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
77%
Draw or CD Nacional
49%
Vitória SC or CD Nacional
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC37% Draw45% CD Nacional18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.