Thursday , 2 July 2026

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Mon 23 Dec 2024 · 18:45 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques 17,423 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Isaac Aguiar
Tiago Silva pen 24' 1–1
Nuno Santos 49' 2–1
2–2 90+3' Joao Aurelio
Y 18' Ze Vitor
Tomas Handel 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CD NacionalPrimeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec CD Nacional H 2–2 D
16 Dec Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
07 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–1 L
02 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 4–0 W
10 Nov CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
03 Nov Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec Vitória SC A 2–2 D
19 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
14 Dec Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
07 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Boavista FC H 0–0 D
10 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Vitória SC CD Nacional
#9 Position #14
42 Points 34
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
39 Scored 37
51 Conceded 45
-12 GD -8
1.24 PPG 1.00
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Vitória SC get us underway at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
  • 5' Tiago Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 35 appearances.
  • 9' A goal from the Brazil international Isaac Aguiar! He fires home on 9 to make it 0-1!
  • 14' Over 14 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ze Vitor on 18.
  • 23' Oscar Rivas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 24' A stunning finish from Tiago Silva — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 29' The 27-year-old Gustavo Silva has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Leo Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Vitória SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Dyego Sousa gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Isaac Aguiar and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' Nuno Santos doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' CD Nacional fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mikel Villanueva suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Another change for Vitoria SC made on 64 minute. Samu leaves to be changed by Joao Mendes.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
  • 74' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 77' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Arvin Appiah is replaced by Joao Aurelio.
  • 78' Dieu Michel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaio Cesar at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 87' Ze Carlos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tiago Silva on 87 minute.
  • 88' The whistle greets Gustavo Silva as he departs to be replaced by Telmo Arcanjo.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Tomas Handel on 90 minutes earns him a card. Vitoria SC will be frustrated.
  • 90' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Luis Esteves is withdrawn and Leo Santos gets his opportunity.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Vitória SC46% Draw27% CD Nacional27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
73%
Draw or CD Nacional
54%
Vitória SC or CD Nacional
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC33% Draw45% CD Nacional22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
30%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.