Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'
Filipe Soares 4' 1–0
1–1 22' Pedro Lima
1–2 63' Guilherme Neiva

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

  • CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
  • AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Marcio Torres
  • Assistant 1 Joao Macedo (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May AVS H 1–2 L
25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W
18 Apr FC Alverca H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
04 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
21 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CD Nacional A 2–1 W
26 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
17 Apr Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Vitória SC H 1–1 D
03 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 0–3 L
21 Mar CD Tondela A 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio da Madeira that hosts another battle between CD Nacional and AVS.
  • 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Filipe Soares makes it 1-0.
  • 9' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 14' It looks surprising AVS does not make any changes. Chiheb Labidi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' What a moment for Pedro Lima! That strike on 22 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Babatunde Akinsola, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' Venezuela international Chuchu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gabriel Veron on 41 minutes.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Paulo Vitor is booked for AVS — card on 45.
  • 50' Tiago Galletto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AVS tonight.
  • 55' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Chiheb Labidi gets a card.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Ze Vitor.
  • 63' A stunning finish from Guilherme Neiva — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and AVS are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 73' The home supporters are growing impatient. CD Nacional must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 78' AVS fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Henriques.
  • 89' That is a card for AVS. Adriel Ramos will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 1-2 the final result. CD Nacional will be bitterly disappointed.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 AVS xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or AVS 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional41% Draw29% AVS30%
Actual: AVS win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
70%
Draw or AVS
59%
CD Nacional or AVS
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional30% Draw48% AVS22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push AVS covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AVS keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.