CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- AVS 34 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marcio Torres
- Assistant 1 Joao Macedo (Portugal)
- Assistant 2
5 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | AVS | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Vitória SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | CD Tondela | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | AVS | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #18 |
| 34 | Points | 21 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 3 / 12 / 19 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 45 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -40 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.62 |
| 26% | Win % | 9% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
15%
Clean Sheets
AVS this season
AVS this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). AVS are 18th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AVS
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and AVS has kicked off!
- 4' Filipe Soares puts CD Nacional on the lead.
- 9' It’s high time João Henriques made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 14' AVS started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 22' What a strike from Pedro Lima! The score is 1-1.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CD Nacional needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with AVS winning 50% of all matches.
- 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' Gabriel Veron was booked on 41.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Paulo Vitor. He receives a card.
- 50' AVS is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Chiheb Labidi on 55.
- 58' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 63' Sensational shot from Guilherme Neiva. AVS is back in the lead.
- 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chiheb Labidi, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 78' Gabriel Veron has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 83' It looks like no one’s ball. AVS is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Joao Henriques.
- 89' AVS player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AVS players.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
- 22
- 27
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 10
- 16
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 28
- 19
- 2
- 7
- 26
- 6
- 33
- 50
- 99
Coach
Tiago Margarido
AVS Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 70
- 8
- 11
- 12
- 42
- 20
- 19
- 3
- 97
- 21
Bench
- 18
- 88
- 7
- 26
- 27
- 33
- 14
- 93
- 5
Coach
João Henriques
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pedro Lima | 1 |
| Guilherme Neiva | 1 |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 |
| John Mercado | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Bruno Costa | 1 |
| El Hadji Soumare | 1 |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
AVS xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: AVS win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or AVS
52%
CD Nacional or AVS
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | AVS covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
AVS keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

