Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
1 2
Full Time
Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'
Filipe Soares 4' 1–0
1–1 22' Pedro Lima
1–2 63' Guilherme Neiva

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs AVSPrimeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

  • CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
  • AVS 34 games · 21 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Marcio Torres
  • Assistant 1 Joao Macedo (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May AVS H 1–2 L
25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W
18 Apr FC Alverca H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
04 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
21 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CD Nacional A 2–1 W
26 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
17 Apr Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Vitória SC H 1–1 D
03 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 0–3 L
21 Mar CD Tondela A 0–0 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional AVS
#14 Position #18
34 Points 21
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 3 / 12 / 19
37 Scored 27
45 Conceded 67
-8 GD -40
1.00 PPG 0.62
26% Win % 9%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
15% Clean Sheets
AVS this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). AVS are 18th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AVS
0-15
/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and AVS has kicked off!
  • 4' Filipe Soares puts CD Nacional on the lead.
  • 9' It’s high time João Henriques made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 14' AVS started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' What a strike from Pedro Lima! The score is 1-1.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CD Nacional needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with AVS winning 50% of all matches.
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 41' Gabriel Veron was booked on 41.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Paulo Vitor. He receives a card.
  • 50' AVS is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Chiheb Labidi on 55.
  • 58' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 63' Sensational shot from Guilherme Neiva. AVS is back in the lead.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chiheb Labidi, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 78' Gabriel Veron has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' It looks like no one’s ball. AVS is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Joao Henriques.
  • 89' AVS player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AVS players.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 AVS xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional48% Draw27% AVS25%
Actual: AVS win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or AVS
52%
CD Nacional or AVS
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional37% Draw46% AVS17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push AVS covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
37%
AVS keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.