CD Nacional vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

2 – 0

Full Time

Vitória SC

Sat 16 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Chuchu 69' 1–0

Chuchu pen 86' 2–0

Y 14' Ricardo Rocha

Jose Gomes 25' Y

Filipe Soares 32' Y

Y 32' Francisco Dias

Witi 33' Y

Matheus Dias 54' Y

Y 85' Zeega

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Vitória SC 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	82
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	34	80
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	34	59
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	34	50
7	Moreirense FC	34	43
8	FC Arouca	34	42
9	Vitória SC	34	42
10	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
11	FC Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave FC	34	36
13	CD Santa Clara	34	36
14	CD Nacional	34	34
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	34	30
16	Casa Pia AC	34	30
17	CD Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 8 games · Avg 2.8 goals Vitória SC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	Vitória SC	H	2–0	W
11 May	CD Santa Clara	A	0–2	L
02 May	AVS	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	CD Tondela	A	2–0	W
18 Apr	FC Alverca	H	1–0	W
12 Apr	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	0–2	L

Vitória SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	CD Nacional	A	0–2	L
11 May	Casa Pia AC	H	0–1	L
04 May	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	1–5	L
25 Apr	Rio Ave FC	H	2–0	W
18 Apr	Gil Vicente FC	A	1–0	W
11 Apr	AVS	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

CD Nacional		Vitória SC
#14	Position	#9
34	Points	42
34	Played	34
9 / 7 / 18	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
37	Scored	39
45	Conceded	51
-8	GD	-12
1.00	PPG	1.24
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

3/1

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Vitória SC

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

3/3

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and Vitória SC has kicked off!
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francisco Dias made 394 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' Vitória SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
14' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
19' Vitória SC is showing some good football. However, Vitória SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
25' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Gomes.
30' CD Nacional started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Filipe Soares on 32.
33' It’s gonna be a card for Witi.
38' It looks surprising CD Nacional does not make any changes. Chuchu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Vitória SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
53' Vitória SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
54' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Matheus Dias gets a card.
59' Leo Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
69' Chuchu puts CD Nacional on the lead.
74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Vitória SC winning 50% of all matches.
79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vitória SC that had 394 games and scored 369 goals.
84' It’s high time Joao Costa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
85' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
86' What a strike from Chuchu! The score is 2-0.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Vitória SC.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Vitória SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Joao Costa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tiago Silva	2
Chuchu	2
Kenji Gorre	1
Pedro Mendes	1
Joao Camacho	1
Nuno Santos	1
Toze	1
Joao Aurelio	1

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC W 2026-05-11 CD Santa Clara 2–0 CD Nacional L 2026-05-02 CD Nacional 1–2 AVS L 2026-04-25 CD Tondela 0–2 CD Nacional W 2026-04-18 CD Nacional 1–0 FC Alverca W 2026-04-12 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2–0 CD Nacional L

Vitória SC Form

2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC L 2026-05-11 Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia AC L 2026-05-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5–1 Vitória SC L 2026-04-25 Vitória SC 2–0 Rio Ave FC W 2026-04-18 Gil Vicente FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2026-04-11 AVS 1–1 Vitória SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.57 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Vitória SC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional50% Draw27% Vitória SC23%

Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

77%

Draw or Vitória SC

50%

CD Nacional or Vitória SC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional35% Draw48% Vitória SC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

11.2%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	Vitória SC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.