CD Nacional vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

2 – 0

Full Time

Vitória SC

Sat 16 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Chuchu 69' 1–0

Chuchu pen 86' 2–0

Y 14' Ricardo Rocha

Jose Gomes 25' Y

Filipe Soares 32' Y

Y 32' Francisco Dias

Witi 33' Y

Matheus Dias 54' Y

Y 85' Zeega

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

CD Nacional 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Vitória SC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	2	6
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	4
3	CD Santa Clara	2	4
4	CS Marítimo	1	3
5	FC Arouca	1	3
6	Gil Vicente FC	1	3
7	CF Estrela da Amadora	2	2
8	Moreirense FC	1	1
9	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	1	1
10	Sporting Clube de Braga	1	1
11	Académico de Viseu FC	2	1
12	FC Famalicão	1	1
13	GD Estoril Praia	1	1
14	CD Nacional	1	1
15	FC Alverca	2	1
16	Casa Pia AC	1	0
17	Vitória SC	2	0
18	Rio Ave FC	2	0

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 8 games · Avg 2.8 goals Vitória SC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	Vitória SC	H	2–0	W
11 May	CD Santa Clara	A	0–2	L
02 May	AVS	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	CD Tondela	A	2–0	W
18 Apr	FC Alverca	H	1–0	W
12 Apr	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	0–2	L

Vitória SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	CD Nacional	A	0–2	L
11 May	Casa Pia AC	H	0–1	L
04 May	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	1–5	L
25 Apr	Rio Ave FC	H	2–0	W
18 Apr	Gil Vicente FC	A	1–0	W
11 Apr	AVS	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

CD Nacional		Vitória SC
#14	Position	#17
1	Points	0
1	Played	2
0 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 2
2	Scored	2
2	Conceded	4
+0	GD	-2
1.00	PPG	0.00
0%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

0% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (1 pts). Vitória SC are 17th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Vitória SC

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CD Nacional launch into their encounter with Vitoria SC.
5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
10' CD Nacional are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
14' Ricardo Rocha was booked on 14.
19' Vitoria SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jose Gomes.
30' Paulinho Boia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
32' The referee has no hesitation. Filipe Soares is booked for CD Nacional — card on 32.
33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Witi.
38' Vitoria SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
43' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Vitoria SC's compact 4-2-3-1.
48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Joao Costa will be considering his options from the bench.
53' CD Nacional have won 106 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
54' Matheus Dias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
59' The 23-year-old Thiago Balieiro has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
64' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Vitoria SC backline.
69' Against the run of play, Chuchu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
84' Kaique is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vitoria SC so far.
85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zeega on 85.
86' Against the run of play, Chuchu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Vitória SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Joao Costa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chuchu	2
Tiago Silva	2
Nuno Santos	1
Toze	1
Joao Aurelio	1
Florent Hanin	1
Isaac Aguiar	1
Alhassan Ibrahim	1

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC W 2026-05-11 CD Santa Clara 2–0 CD Nacional L 2026-05-02 CD Nacional 1–2 AVS L 2026-04-25 CD Tondela 0–2 CD Nacional W 2026-04-18 CD Nacional 1–0 FC Alverca W 2026-04-12 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2–0 CD Nacional L

Vitória SC Form

2026-05-16 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC L 2026-05-11 Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia AC L 2026-05-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5–1 Vitória SC L 2026-04-25 Vitória SC 2–0 Rio Ave FC W 2026-04-18 Gil Vicente FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2026-04-11 AVS 1–1 Vitória SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.58 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 Vitória SC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional62% Draw20% Vitória SC18%

Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

82%

Draw or Vitória SC

38%

CD Nacional or Vitória SC

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional49% Draw36% Vitória SC15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

7.9%

3 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

6.7%

1 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.1%

4 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

4.4%

4 – 0

4.3%

1 – 2

4.1%

0 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	Vitória SC covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	19%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	21%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	9%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.