Saturday , 14 November 2026

CD Nacional vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
CD Nacional
1 – 2
Full Time
Vitória SC
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Tiago Silva
0–2 64' Chuchu
Fuki Yamada 73' 1–2
Y 34' Chuchu
Y 45' Tiago Silva
El Hadji Soumare 45' Y
Ze Vitor 59' Y
Y 61' Telmo Arcanjo

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

3
2
4
CD Nacional 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals Vitória SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional 2019-05-05 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Vitória SC H 1–2 L
27 Apr Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
19 Apr Gil Vicente FC H 0–3 L
12 Apr Boavista FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–1 L
30 Mar CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
Vitória SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May CD Nacional A 2–1 W
27 Apr Rio Ave FC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–3 L
11 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W
05 Apr CD Santa Clara H 2–0 W
30 Mar Moreirense FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional Vitória SC
#13 Position #14
10 Points 9
11 Played 11
3 / 1 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
11 Scored 11
19 Conceded 12
-8 GD -1
0.91 PPG 0.82
27% Win % 18%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
36% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). Vitória SC are 14th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Vitória SC
Arnel Jakupovic 2 G
Samu 1 G 1 A
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Vitória SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Freire might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 13' Vitoria SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tiago Silva on 13.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at Estadio da Madeira. CD Nacional seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' CD Nacional have won 116 goals from 276 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 28' Portugal international Luis Esteves has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 33' Joao Mendes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Vitória SC tonight.
  • 34' It’s gonna be a card for Chuchu.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and Vitória SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Tiago Silva.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 57' Another substitution for Vitoria SC to replace Gustavo Silva by Vando Felix on 57 minute.
  • 59' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 59.
  • 61' Telmo Arcanjo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
  • 64' Against the run of play, Chuchu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 66' Joao Aurelio makes way for Gustavo Garcia at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from CD Nacional.
  • 71' It looks surprising Vitória SC does not make any changes. Ulisses has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Chiheb Labidi is ready to make an impact after coming on for El Hadji Soumare at the 72 minute mark.
  • 73' Fuki Yamada makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and CD Nacional are in front.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Vitoria SC. Chuchu is replaced by Nelson Oliveira.
  • 75' Jose Gomes makes way for Arvin Appiah at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from CD Nacional.
  • 80' Tomas Handel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' Another change for Vitoria SC made on 83 minute. Telmo Arcanjo leaves to be changed by Mikel Villanueva.
  • 88' Nuno Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 331 appearances.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Vitória SC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Vitória SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Freire

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tiago Silva 2
Chuchu 2
Pedro Mendes 1
Joao Camacho 1
Nuno Santos 1
Toze 1
Joao Aurelio 1
Florent Hanin 1

Head to Head

2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional 2019-05-05 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC L 2025-04-27 Moreirense FC 1–1 CD Nacional D 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC L 2025-04-12 Boavista FC 0–1 CD Nacional W 2025-04-06 CD Nacional 0–1 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2025-03-30 CD Santa Clara 1–0 CD Nacional L

Vitória SC Form

2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC W 2025-04-27 Vitória SC 3–0 Rio Ave FC W 2025-04-19 Vitória SC 0–3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2025-04-11 Gil Vicente FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2025-04-05 Vitória SC 2–0 CD Santa Clara W 2025-03-30 Moreirense FC 2–2 Vitória SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Vitória SC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional25% Draw28% Vitória SC47%
Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
53%
Draw or Vitória SC
75%
CD Nacional or Vitória SC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional17% Draw47% Vitória SC36%
Actual: Vitória SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Vitória SC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 16% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.