Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
CD Nacional
1 – 2
Full Time
Vitória SC
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Tiago Silva
0–2 64' Chuchu
Fuki Yamada 73' 1–2
Y 34' Chuchu
Y 45' Tiago Silva
El Hadji Soumare 45' Y
Ze Vitor 59' Y
Y 61' Telmo Arcanjo

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

3
2
3
CD Nacional 8 games · Avg 2.8 goals Vitória SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional 2019-05-05 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Vitória SC H 1–2 L
27 Apr Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
19 Apr Gil Vicente FC H 0–3 L
12 Apr Boavista FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–1 L
30 Mar CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
Vitória SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May CD Nacional A 2–1 W
27 Apr Rio Ave FC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–3 L
11 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W
05 Apr CD Santa Clara H 2–0 W
30 Mar Moreirense FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional Vitória SC
#14 Position #9
34 Points 42
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
37 Scored 39
45 Conceded 51
-8 GD -12
1.00 PPG 1.24
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Vitória SC gets underway.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CD Nacional and Vitória SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Vitória SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 13' Brilliant from the ! Tiago Silva makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 13.
  • 18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and Vitória SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' Vitória SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 33' Vitória SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 34' Chuchu is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for El Hadji Soumare suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' CD Nacional are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tiago Silva on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Telmo Arcanjo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tiago Margarido might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' Vitoria SC ring the changes. Gustavo Silva has done his job and it is now time for Vando Felix to step up.
  • 59' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Vitoria SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 64' The Venezuela Chuchu breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 0-2!
  • 66' The CD Nacional bench stirs into life. Joao Aurelio is withdrawn and Gustavo Garcia gets his opportunity.
  • 71' CD Nacional are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Vitória SC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 72' CD Nacional make a change. El Hadji Soumare trudges off to be replaced by Chiheb Labidi on 72 minutes.
  • 73' A goal from the Japan international Fuki Yamada! He fires home on 73 to make it 1-2!
  • 73' It is a substitution in Vitoria SC team. Chuchu is replaced by Nelson Oliveira on 73 minute.
  • 75' CD Nacional ring the changes. Jose Gomes has done his job and it is now time for Arvin Appiah to step up.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 83' Telmo Arcanjo makes way for Mikel Villanueva at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Vitoria SC.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Vitória SC winning 50% of all matches.
  • The points are shared — CD Nacional 1-2 Vitória SC. Honours even.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Vitória SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Freire

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tiago Silva 2
Chuchu 2
Pedro Mendes 1
Joao Camacho 1
Nuno Santos 1
Toze 1
Joao Aurelio 1
Florent Hanin 1

Head to Head

2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional 2019-05-05 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC L 2025-04-27 Moreirense FC 1–1 CD Nacional D 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC L 2025-04-12 Boavista FC 0–1 CD Nacional W 2025-04-06 CD Nacional 0–1 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2025-03-30 CD Santa Clara 1–0 CD Nacional L

Vitória SC Form

2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC W 2025-04-27 Vitória SC 3–0 Rio Ave FC W 2025-04-19 Vitória SC 0–3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2025-04-11 Gil Vicente FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2025-04-05 Vitória SC 2–0 CD Santa Clara W 2025-03-30 Moreirense FC 2–2 Vitória SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Vitória SC xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or Vitória SC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional30% Draw28% Vitória SC42%
Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
58%
Draw or Vitória SC
70%
CD Nacional or Vitória SC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional22% Draw47% Vitória SC31%
Actual: Vitória SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Vitória SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.