Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

Vitória SC

2 – 1

Full Time

CD Nacional

Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Vitória SC 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Andre Narciso

5 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	82
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	34	80
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	34	59
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	34	50
7	Moreirense FC	34	43
8	FC Arouca	34	42
9	Vitória SC	34	42
10	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
11	FC Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave FC	34	36
13	CD Santa Clara	34	36
14	CD Nacional	34	34
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	34	30
16	Casa Pia AC	34	30
17	CD Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Head-to-Head

Vitória SC 8 games · Avg 2.8 goals CD Nacional

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

Vitória SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	CD Nacional	H	2–1	W
28 Dec	Casa Pia AC	A	0–0	D
23 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–4	L
13 Dec	Rio Ave FC	A	1–0	W
08 Dec	Gil Vicente FC	H	0–0	D
28 Nov	AVS	H	4–0	W

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	FC Alverca	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	1–2	L
09 Nov	CF Estrela da Amadora	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Vitória SC		CD Nacional
#9	Position	#14
42	Points	34
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	9 / 7 / 18
39	Scored	37
51	Conceded	45
-12	GD	-8
1.24	PPG	1.00
35%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

3/3

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CD Nacional

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

3/1

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. CD Nacional kicks off things out of here…
With this win, Vitória SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tiago Silva	2
Chuchu	2
Chuchu	1
Ricardo Quaresma	1
Fuki Yamada	1
Oscar Estupinan	1
Lucas Kal	1
Kenji Gorre	1

Head to Head

Vitória SC Form

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional W 2025-12-28 Casa Pia AC 0–0 Vitória SC D 2025-12-23 Vitória SC 1–4 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-12-13 Rio Ave FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2025-12-08 Vitória SC 0–0 Gil Vicente FC D 2025-11-28 Vitória SC 4–0 AVS W

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-11-29 CD Nacional 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.54 Vitória SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 CD Nacional xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vitória SC48% Draw26% CD Nacional26%

Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw

74%

Draw or CD Nacional

52%

Vitória SC or CD Nacional

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vitória SC31% Draw46% CD Nacional23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.8%

0 – 0

8.2%

2 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

5.4%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

3.7%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap	Vitória SC covers	Push	CD Nacional covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.