Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

Vitória SC

2 – 1

Full Time

CD Nacional

Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Vitória SC 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andre Narciso

3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	33
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	11	28
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	11	24
4	CD Santa Clara	11	21
5	FC Arouca	11	20
6	Académico de Viseu FC	11	20
7	Gil Vicente FC	11	18
8	Sporting Clube de Braga	11	17
9	Moreirense FC	11	14
10	FC Famalicão	11	13
11	FC Alverca	11	12
12	CF Estrela da Amadora	11	10
13	CD Nacional	11	10
14	Vitória SC	11	9
15	CS Marítimo	10	8
16	Casa Pia AC	11	8
17	Rio Ave FC	11	7
18	GD Estoril Praia	10	2

Head-to-Head

Vitória SC 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals CD Nacional

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

Vitória SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	CD Nacional	H	2–1	W
28 Dec	Casa Pia AC	A	0–0	D
23 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–4	L
13 Dec	Rio Ave FC	A	1–0	W
08 Dec	Gil Vicente FC	H	0–0	D
28 Nov	AVS	H	4–0	W

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	FC Alverca	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	1–2	L
09 Nov	CF Estrela da Amadora	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Vitória SC		CD Nacional
#14	Position	#13
9	Points	10
11	Played	11
2 / 3 / 6	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 7
11	Scored	11
12	Conceded	19
-1	GD	-8
0.82	PPG	0.91
18%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

36% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitória SC are 14th (9 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/7

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitória SC

Arnel Jakupovic	2 G
Samu	1 G	1 A
Gustavo Silva	1 G
Alioune Ndoye	1 G

CD Nacional

Matchoi Djalo	2 G
Miguel Baeza	2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya	2 G
Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Vitoria SC face off against CD Nacional in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CD Nacional.

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chuchu	2
Tiago Silva	2
Nuno Santos	1
Toze	1
Joao Aurelio	1
Florent Hanin	1
Isaac Aguiar	1
Alhassan Ibrahim	1

Head to Head

Vitória SC Form

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional W 2025-12-28 Casa Pia AC 0–0 Vitória SC D 2025-12-23 Vitória SC 1–4 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-12-13 Rio Ave FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2025-12-08 Vitória SC 0–0 Gil Vicente FC D 2025-11-28 Vitória SC 4–0 AVS W

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-11-29 CD Nacional 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.64 Vitória SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 CD Nacional xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vitória SC53% Draw25% CD Nacional22%

Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.68

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw

78%

Draw or CD Nacional

47%

Vitória SC or CD Nacional

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vitória SC35% Draw46% CD Nacional19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

10.3%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

0 – 0

8.8%

0 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap	Vitória SC covers	Push	CD Nacional covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	23%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.