Vitória SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

Vitória SC

2 – 1

Full Time

CD Nacional

Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Vitória SC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andre Narciso

3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	21
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	7	16
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	15
4	CD Santa Clara	7	15
5	FC Arouca	7	11
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	6	11
7	Académico de Viseu FC	7	11
8	CF Estrela da Amadora	7	10
9	Moreirense FC	7	8
10	Gil Vicente FC	6	8
11	CS Marítimo	7	8
12	FC Alverca	7	8
13	FC Famalicão	7	7
14	Vitória SC	7	5
15	CD Nacional	7	4
16	Rio Ave FC	7	4
17	Casa Pia AC	7	4
18	GD Estoril Praia	7	2

Head-to-Head

Vitória SC 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals CD Nacional

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC 2024-12-23 Vitória SC 2–2 CD Nacional 2021-04-26 CD Nacional 1–0 Vitória SC 2021-01-21 Vitória SC 3–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

Vitória SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	CD Nacional	H	2–1	W
28 Dec	Casa Pia AC	A	0–0	D
23 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–4	L
13 Dec	Rio Ave FC	A	1–0	W
08 Dec	Gil Vicente FC	H	0–0	D
28 Nov	AVS	H	4–0	W

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	FC Alverca	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	1–2	L
09 Nov	CF Estrela da Amadora	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Vitória SC		CD Nacional
#14	Position	#15
5	Points	4
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 5
5	Scored	7
8	Conceded	15
-3	GD	-8
0.71	PPG	0.57
14%	Win %	14%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitória SC are 14th (5 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/3

61-75

3/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/6

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitória SC

Samu	1 G
Gustavo Silva	1 G
Alioune Ndoye	1 G

CD Nacional

Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G
Miguel Baeza	1 G
Ze Vitor	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Vitoria SC to score. At the same time, CD Nacional does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chuchu	2
Tiago Silva	2
Toze	1
Joao Aurelio	1
Florent Hanin	1
Isaac Aguiar	1
Alhassan Ibrahim	1
Diogo Coelho	1

Head to Head

Vitória SC Form

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional W 2025-12-28 Casa Pia AC 0–0 Vitória SC D 2025-12-23 Vitória SC 1–4 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-12-13 Rio Ave FC 0–1 Vitória SC W 2025-12-08 Vitória SC 0–0 Gil Vicente FC D 2025-11-28 Vitória SC 4–0 AVS W

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-11-29 CD Nacional 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.53 Vitória SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 CD Nacional xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vitória SC51% Draw26% CD Nacional23%

Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw

77%

Draw or CD Nacional

49%

Vitória SC or CD Nacional

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vitória SC33% Draw48% CD Nacional19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

6.9%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap	Vitória SC covers	Push	CD Nacional covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.