Saturday , 12 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 19:05 UTC Stadium de Toulouse HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
10 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr AS Monaco FC H 2–2 D
17 Apr Racing Club de Lens A 2–3 L
12 Apr Lille OSC H 0–4 L
03 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
21 Mar FC Lorient H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Toulouse FC A 2–2 D
19 Apr AJ Auxerre H 2–2 D
10 Apr Paris FC A 1–4 L
05 Apr Olympique de Marseille H 2–1 W
22 Mar Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
14 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC AS Monaco FC
#17 Position #2
1 Points 9
3 Played 3
0 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 0
2 Scored 5
5 Conceded 1
-3 GD +4
0.33 PPG 3.00
0% Win % 100%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
AS Monaco FC this season

Toulouse FC are 17th (1 pts). AS Monaco FC are 2nd (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Monaco FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Jacen Russell-Rowe 1 G
Christ Tape 1 G
AS Monaco FC
Paris Brunner 2 G
Eric Dier 1 G 1 A
Flavio Nazinho 1 G 1 A
Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.85 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 AS Monaco FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC23% Draw26% AS Monaco FC51%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
50%
Draw or AS Monaco FC
77%
Toulouse FC or AS Monaco FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC14% Draw46% AS Monaco FC40%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 2
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
2.9%
1 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push AS Monaco FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 24% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
18%
AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.