FC Metz vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

FC Metz

3 – 4

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Metz vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

FC Metz 34 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gael Angoula

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

FC Metz 5 games · Avg 3.8 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-15 FC Metz 3–4 Toulouse FC 2025-10-19 Toulouse FC 4–0 FC Metz 2024-01-14 FC Metz 0–1 Toulouse FC 2023-10-01 Toulouse FC 3–0 FC Metz 2019-09-28 FC Metz 2–2 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

FC Metz

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Toulouse FC	H	3–4	L
08 Mar	Racing Club de Lens	A	0–3	L
01 Mar	Stade Brestois 29	H	0–1	L
21 Feb	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	0–3	L
15 Feb	AJ Auxerre	H	1–3	L
06 Feb	Lille OSC	H	0–0	D

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	FC Metz	A	4–3	W
07 Mar	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Paris FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Angers SCO	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Metz		Toulouse FC
#2	Position	#11
17	Points	0
34	Played	0
3 / 8 / 23	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
32	Scored	0
76	Conceded	0
-44	GD	+0
0.50	PPG	–
9%	Win %	–

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Metz are 2nd (17 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Niklas Schmidt	1
Thijs Dallinga	1
Frank Magri	1
Vincent Sierro	1
Wesley Said	1
Efthymios Koulouris	1
Habib Diallo	1
Ibrahima Niane	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.71 FC Metz xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Metz23% Draw32% Toulouse FC45%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes37% 0% No63%

Avg goals/match: 1.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

FC Metz or Draw

55%

Draw or Toulouse FC

77%

FC Metz or Toulouse FC

68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Metz15% Draw55% Toulouse FC30%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

0 – 0

17.3%

0 – 1

16.5%

1 – 1

13.5%

0 – 2

10.1%

1 – 0

9.2%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 1

4.4%

0 – 3

2 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

2 – 2

2.8%

0 – 4

1.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Metz

Handicap	FC Metz covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	14%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	25%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	14%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Metz keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.