Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- FC Lorient 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FC Metz | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | Toulouse FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | Racing Club de Lens | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Lille OSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | AJ Auxerre | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | OGC Nice | A | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Feb | Angers SCO | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | FC Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #10 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 9 |
| 14 | Conceded | 8 |
| +1 | GD | +1 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 30% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
60%
Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season
FC Lorient this season
Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). FC Lorient are 10th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
FC Lorient
| Jean-Victor Makengo | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' toulouse fc have kicked off against fc lorient. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 1-0 the final result. fc lorient will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
FC Lorient Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thijs Dallinga | 3 |
| Noah Mbamba | 1 |
| Ibrahima Balde | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Armand Lauriente | 1 |
| Ibrahima Kone | 1 |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | 1 |
| Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
FC Lorient xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Lorient
55%
Toulouse FC or FC Lorient
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | FC Lorient covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 23% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

