Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Toulouse FC
1 – 0
Full Time
FC Lorient
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Monaco FC 5 13
2 Olympique Lyonnais 5 11
3 Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille OSC 5 10
5 Stade Rennais FC 1901 5 10
6 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 8
7 Angers SCO 5 7
8 RC Strasbourg Alsace 5 7
9 Le Mans FC 5 6
10 AJ Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 FC Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse FC 5 5
14 OGC Nice 5 5
15 Racing Club de Lens 5 4
16 ES Troyes AC 5 4
17 Olympique de Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre AC 5 2

Head-to-Head

3
4
Toulouse FC 7 games · Avg 2.4 goals FC Lorient
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC 2023-12-03 Toulouse FC 1–1 FC Lorient 2023-04-23 FC Lorient 0–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Lorient H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W
07 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
28 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–2 L
FC Lorient
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Toulouse FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lille OSC A 1–1 D
01 Mar AJ Auxerre H 2–2 D
22 Feb OGC Nice A 3–3 D
15 Feb Angers SCO H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC FC Lorient
#13 Position #12
5 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 5
9 Conceded 6
-2 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). FC Lorient are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 3 G
Thomas Jorgensen 2 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 1 G
Christ Tape 1 G
FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Toulouse FC kicks off things out of here…
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Thijs Dallinga 3
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 1
Ibrahim Cissoko 1
Julien Ponceau 1
Casper Tengstedt 1
Thomas Jorgensen 1
Noah Mbamba 1
Ibrahima Balde 1

Head to Head

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-04-28 FC Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FC 2023-12-03 Toulouse FC 1–1 FC Lorient 2023-04-23 FC Lorient 0–1 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient W 2026-03-15 FC Metz 3–4 Toulouse FC W 2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-28 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-15 Le Havre AC 2–1 Toulouse FC L

FC Lorient Form

2026-03-21 Toulouse FC 1–0 FC Lorient L 2026-03-14 FC Lorient 2–1 Racing Club de Lens W 2026-03-08 Lille OSC 1–1 FC Lorient D 2026-03-01 FC Lorient 2–2 AJ Auxerre D 2026-02-22 OGC Nice 3–3 FC Lorient D 2026-02-15 FC Lorient 2–0 Angers SCO W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC46% Draw29% FC Lorient25%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Lorient
54%
Toulouse FC or FC Lorient
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC29% Draw51% FC Lorient20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.