Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 7 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,593 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Takumi Minamino
Frank Magri 90+1' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Yannick Boutry
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Stade de Reims H 3–0 W
22 Feb Lille OSC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 3–3 D
15 Feb FC Nantes H 7–1 W
12 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC AS Monaco FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). AS Monaco FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Toulouse FC is hosting AS Monaco FC for another epic battle.
  • 1' Poor challenge from Christian Mawissa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 6' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 11' AS Monaco FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 16' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past AS Monaco FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takumi Minamino makes it 0-1.
  • 22' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Caio Henrique is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AS Monaco FC.
  • 37' The 21-year-old Eliesse Ben Seghir has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafik Messali, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium de Toulouse with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Charlie Cresswell is booked for Toulouse FC — card on 45.
  • 50' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Djibril Sidibe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Rafik Messali departs to be replaced by Yann Gboho.
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 69' Ali Al Musrati has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Jaydee Canvot is replaced by Miha Zajc.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Breel Embolo is booked for AS Monaco FC — card on 74.
  • 74' George Ilenikhena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Breel Embolo at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' Aron Donnum has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Shavy Warren Babicka has done his job and it is now time for Noah Edjouma to step up.
  • 82' The AS Monaco FC bench stirs into life. Mika Biereth is withdrawn and Wilfried Singo gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Maghnes Akliouche on 90 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 AS Monaco FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC33% Draw38% AS Monaco FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AS Monaco FC
67%
Toulouse FC or AS Monaco FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC16% Draw66% AS Monaco FC18%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.1%
0 – 1
16.4%
1 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 3
1.3%
3 – 0
1.1%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push AS Monaco FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 20% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 21% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
51%
AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.