Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 7 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,593 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Takumi Minamino
Frank Magri 90+1' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Yannick Boutry
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Stade de Reims H 3–0 W
22 Feb Lille OSC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 3–3 D
15 Feb FC Nantes H 7–1 W
12 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC AS Monaco FC
#13 Position #1
5 Points 13
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
7 Scored 8
9 Conceded 3
-2 GD +5
1.00 PPG 2.60
20% Win % 80%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AS Monaco FC this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). AS Monaco FC are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Monaco FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadium de Toulouse. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 1' It’s a booking for AS Monaco FC player. Christian Mawissa gets a card.
  • 6' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Monaco FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 11' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 16' Takumi Minamino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 35 goals in his last 222 appearances.
  • 17' Takumi Minamino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Toulouse FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
  • 27' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Christian Mawissa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toulouse FC.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' Breel Embolo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AS Monaco FC so far.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Charlie Cresswell.
  • 50' Aron Donnum is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AS Monaco FC tonight.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mika Biereth suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Rafik Messali is replaced by Yann Gboho.
  • 64' Poland international Radoslaw Majecki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
  • 71' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Jaydee Canvot departs to be replaced by Miha Zajc.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Breel Embolo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 74' George Ilenikhena is replacing Breel Embolo for the AS Monaco FC side.
  • 79' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 81' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Shavy Warren Babicka is replaced by Noah Edjouma.
  • 82' Time for substitution for AS Monaco FC. Mika Biereth is replaced by Wilfried Singo.
  • 87' AS Monaco FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Maghnes Akliouche. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 AS Monaco FC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or AS Monaco FC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC29% Draw27% AS Monaco FC44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
56%
Draw or AS Monaco FC
71%
Toulouse FC or AS Monaco FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC17% Draw46% AS Monaco FC37%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push AS Monaco FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.