Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 7 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,593 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Takumi Minamino
Frank Magri 90+1' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Yannick Boutry
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Stade de Reims H 3–0 W
22 Feb Lille OSC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 3–3 D
15 Feb FC Nantes H 7–1 W
12 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC AS Monaco FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). AS Monaco FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Toulouse FC get us underway at Stadium de Toulouse.
  • 1' It’s gonna be a card for Christian Mawissa.
  • 6' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Monaco FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 11' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AS Monaco FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takumi Minamino makes it 0-1.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' It looks surprising AS Monaco FC does not make any changes. Lamine Camara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 42' AS Monaco FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Charlie Cresswell will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Yann Gboho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafik Messali at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shavy Warren Babicka, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium de Toulouse with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 69' Toulouse FC have won 404 goals from 420 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Miha Zajc comes on to replace Jaydee Canvot.
  • 74' The referee shows AS Monaco FC player a card on 74.
  • 74' A change in the AS Monaco FC ranks — Breel Embolo exits the field as George Ilenikhena enters on 74.
  • 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Monaco FC that had 422 games and scored 533 goals.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Noah Edjouma. He replaces Shavy Warren Babicka on 81 minute.
  • 82' The AS Monaco FC bench stirs into life. Mika Biereth is withdrawn and Wilfried Singo gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maghnes Akliouche on 90.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 AS Monaco FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC33% Draw38% AS Monaco FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AS Monaco FC
67%
Toulouse FC or AS Monaco FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC16% Draw66% AS Monaco FC18%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.1%
0 – 1
16.4%
1 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 3
1.3%
3 – 0
1.1%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push AS Monaco FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 20% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 21% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
51%
AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.