Sunday , 16 August 2026

AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stade Louis II 10,495 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aleksandr Golovin 59' 1–0
Folarin Balogun 74' 2–0
2–1 85' Amine Gouiri

Overview

Match Preview

AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 at Stade Louis II.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Olympique de Marseille H 2–1 W
22 Mar Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
14 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
06 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W
28 Feb Angers SCO H 2–0 W
25 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
20 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L

Season Stats

AS Monaco FC Olympique de Marseille
#9 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Monaco FC are 9th (0 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.86 AS Monaco FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Monaco FC47% Draw36% Olympique de Marseille17%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AS Monaco FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
53%
AS Monaco FC or Olympique de Marseille
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Monaco FC25% Draw66% Olympique de Marseille9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30%
1 – 0
22%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
2.2%
3 – 1
1.4%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AS Monaco FC

Handicap AS Monaco FC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 27% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 13% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
65%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.