Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Lille OSC 10 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
- Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
- Assistant 2 Husseyin Ocak (France)
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 16.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Lille OSC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 03 Apr | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FC Metz | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Toulouse FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Racing Club de Lens | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Mar | Aston Villa FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #2 |
| 13 | Points | 21 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 14 |
| 14 | Conceded | 7 |
| +1 | GD | +7 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 2.10 |
| 30% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
Lille OSC this season
Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Lille OSC are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Lille OSC
| Olivier Giroud | 3 G | 2 A |
| Dilane Bakwa | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 G | |
| Tiago Santos | 2 G | |
| Ethan Mbappe | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toulouse FC to score. At the same time, Lille OSC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Felix Correia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 15' Pape Diop has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Thomas Meunier is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lille OSC so far.
- 23' Goal! Thomas Meunier scores his 19 goal in 530 matches.
- 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' Ngal'ayel Mukau has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emersonn, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium de Toulouse with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 48' A moment of madness from Mark McKenzie on 48 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
- 50' A goal from the France international Romain Perraud! He fires home on 50 to make it 0-2!
- 55' Goal! Matias Fernandez-Pardo scores his 9 goal in 307 matches.
- 59' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Djibril Sidibe departs to be replaced by Charlie Cresswell.
- 60' The whistle greets Pape Diop as he departs to be replaced by Alexis Vossah.
- 63' Emersonn is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 68' Lille OSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 71' The crowd applauds Felix Correia as he leaves the pitch. Gaetan Perrin steps in for Lille OSC.
- 76' Olivier Giroud gets the nod from Lille OSC. He replaces Benjamin Andre and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Dayann Methalie.
- 82' Tiago Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thomas Meunier at the 82 minute mark.
- 83' Another substitution for Lille OSC to replace Romain Perraud by Calvin Verdonk on 83 minute.
- 88' Olivier Giroud does the damage! The net is bulging and Lille OSC surge ahead!
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Lille OSC players.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
-
10
Yann Gboho ↓ Santiago Hidalgo 76'
- 23
- 3
- 2
-
20
Emersonn ↓ Jacen Russell-Rowe 71'
- 1
-
18
Pape Diop ↓ Alexis Vossah 60'
-
15
Aron Donnum ↓ Warren Kamanzi 60'
- 24
- 35
Bench
-
4
Charlie Cresswell ↑ 59'
-
13
Jacen Russell-Rowe ↑ 71'
- 16
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 60'
-
11
Santiago Hidalgo ↑ 76'
- 77
-
45
Alexis Vossah ↑ 60'
- 40
- 7
Coach
Carles Martínez
Lille OSC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
15
Romain Perraud ↓ Calvin Verdonk 83'
- 1
-
12
Thomas Meunier ↓ Tiago Santos 82'
-
21
Benjamin Andre ↓ Olivier Giroud 76'
- 6
- 23
-
27
Felix Correia ↓ Gaetan Perrin 71'
-
17
Ngal'ayel Mukau ↓ Ethan Mbappe 71'
- 3
- 10
- 7
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 76'
-
24
Calvin Verdonk ↑ 83'
-
28
Gaetan Perrin ↑ 71'
- 18
- 16
- 4
-
22
Tiago Santos ↑ 82'
-
8
Ethan Mbappe ↑ 71'
- 32
Coach
Bruno Génésio
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Max-Alain Gradel | 3 |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 2 |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo | 2 |
| Loic Remy | 2 |
| Mitchel Bakker | 2 |
| Mohamed Bayo | 1 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
Lille OSC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Lille OSC
80%
Toulouse FC or Lille OSC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Lille OSC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 2
11.2%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
Actual
2 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Lille OSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 24% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.