Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Toulouse FC H 1–0 W
22 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–0 D
18 Oct Angers SCO A 1–1 D
05 Oct OGC Nice H 2–2 D
01 Oct Manchester City FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep FC Lorient A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct FC Metz H 4–0 W
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
27 Sep FC Nantes H 2–2 D
21 Sep AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

AS Monaco FC Toulouse FC
#9 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Monaco FC are 9th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AS Monaco FC Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.64 AS Monaco FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.4 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Monaco FC40% Draw41% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 62%
38%
± 1.5 29%
71%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AS Monaco FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
60%
AS Monaco FC or Toulouse FC
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Monaco FC19% Draw72% Toulouse FC9%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
38.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
3.3%
0 – 2
2.3%
1 – 2
1.9%
3 – 0
1.4%
2 – 2
0.8%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — AS Monaco FC

Handicap AS Monaco FC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 24% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 14% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
67%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.