Saturday , 14 November 2026

AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Toulouse FC H 1–0 W
22 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–0 D
18 Oct Angers SCO A 1–1 D
05 Oct OGC Nice H 2–2 D
01 Oct Manchester City FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep FC Lorient A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct FC Metz H 4–0 W
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
27 Sep FC Nantes H 2–2 D
21 Sep AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

AS Monaco FC Toulouse FC
#7 Position #12
16 Points 13
10 Played 10
4 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
13 Scored 15
11 Conceded 14
+2 GD +1
1.60 PPG 1.30
40% Win % 30%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
AS Monaco FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

AS Monaco FC are 7th (16 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Monaco FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AS Monaco FC
Paris Brunner 4 G
Edan Diop 2 G 1 A
Eric Dier 1 G 1 A
Flavio Nazinho 1 G 1 A
Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo 1 G
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AS Monaco FC Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 AS Monaco FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Monaco FC48% Draw28% Toulouse FC24%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AS Monaco FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Toulouse FC
52%
AS Monaco FC or Toulouse FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Monaco FC31% Draw51% Toulouse FC18%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AS Monaco FC

Handicap AS Monaco FC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.