Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Wattellier
- Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
- Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
4 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Toulouse FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | OGC Nice | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Chelsea FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Chelsea FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 06 Mar | AS Monaco FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FC Metz | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| 8 | Scored | 7 |
| 7 | Conceded | 9 |
| +1 | GD | -2 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 40% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Ferran Torres | 4 G | |
| Marquinhos | 3 G | |
| Vitinha | 1 G | 1 A |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Paris Saint-Germain FC launch into their encounter with Toulouse FC.
- 5' Dayann Methalie has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Paris Saint-Germain FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Toulouse FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris Saint-Germain FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ousmane Dembele makes it 1-0.
- 27' Rasmus Nicolaisen makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Toulouse FC are in front.
- 32' Lucas Beraldo, a Brazil , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 33' Ousmane Dembele doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 36' A moment of madness from Cristian Casseres Jr. on 36 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
- 41' The 21-year-old Guillaume Restes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' France international Lucas Hernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris Saint-Germain FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. Kang-in Lee is replaced by Joao Neves on 59 minute.
- 64' Jacen Russell-Rowe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
- 67' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Warren Kamanzi is hanging Dayann Methalie on the field on 67 minute.
- 68' The crowd applauds Khvicha Kvaratskhelia as he leaves the pitch. Nuno Mendes steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cristian Casseres Jr., as he is very good at scoring at Parc des Princes with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Cristian Casseres Jr. exits the field as Mario Sauer enters on 83.
- 87' Goncalo Ramos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Desire Doue at the 87 minute mark.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.
Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 39
- 7
- 6
-
4
Lucas Beraldo ↓ Vitinha 67'
- 51
-
14
Desire Doue ↓ Goncalo Ramos 87'
- 33
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↓ Joao Neves 59'
Bench
- 5
-
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 87'
-
25
Nuno Mendes ↑ 68'
- 30
-
17
Vitinha ↑ 67'
-
87
Joao Neves ↑ 59'
- 89
- 49
- 27
Coach
Luis Enrique
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Ilyas Azizi 83'
- 10
- 23
- 3
- 2
-
20
Emersonn ↓ Jacen Russell-Rowe 83'
- 1
- 18
- 15
- 24
- 35
Bench
-
13
Jacen Russell-Rowe ↑ 83'
- 16
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 67'
-
77
Mario Sauer ↑ 83'
- 45
- 40
-
37
Ilyas Azizi ↑ 83'
- 7
- 44
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 2 |
| Neymar | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 |
| Lionel Messi | 1 |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 |
| Branco van den Boomen | 1 |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2026-04-03
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Toulouse FC
W
2026-03-21
OGC Nice
0–4
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2026-03-17
Chelsea FC
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2026-03-11
Paris Saint-Germain FC
5–2
Chelsea FC
W
2026-03-06
Paris Saint-Germain FC
1–3
AS Monaco FC
L
2026-02-28
Le Havre AC
0–1
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.62
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
38%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Toulouse FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Handicap | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

