Saturday , 14 November 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,710 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 23' 1–0
1–1 27' Rasmus Nicolaisen
Ousmane Dembele 33' 2–1
Goncalo Ramos 90+2' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
  • Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–1 W
21 Mar OGC Nice A 4–0 W
17 Mar Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
11 Mar Chelsea FC H 5–2 W
06 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
28 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
21 Mar FC Lorient H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W
07 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
28 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Toulouse FC
#1 Position #12
23 Points 13
10 Played 10
7 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
22 Scored 15
10 Conceded 14
+12 GD +1
2.30 PPG 1.30
70% Win % 30%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 3 G 2 A
Marquinhos 3 G
Mika Godts 2 G 1 A
Senny Mayulu 2 G 1 A
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: toulouse fc gets underway.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carles Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Parc des Princes. toulouse fc seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Dayann Methalie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 23' Ousmane Dembele puts Paris Saint-Germain FC on the lead.
  • 27' The deadlock is broken! Rasmus Nicolaisen gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
  • 32' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 33' A stunning finish from Ousmane Dembele — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Cristian Casseres Jr..
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carles Martínez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 51' Achraf Hakimi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' Kang-in Lee makes way for Joao Neves at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Warren Kamanzi on, Dayann Methalie off on 67 minutes.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Paris Saint-Germain FC — Nuno Mendes on, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia off on 68 minutes.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilyas Azizi made 428 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Cristian Casseres Jr. is replaced by Mario Sauer on 83 minute.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. Desire Doue is replaced by Goncalo Ramos on 87 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. paris saint-germain fc take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.66 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC64% Draw19% Toulouse FC17%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Toulouse FC
36%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Toulouse FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC48% Draw35% Toulouse FC17%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 18% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 20% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.