Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,710 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 23' 1–0
1–1 27' Rasmus Nicolaisen
Ousmane Dembele 33' 2–1
Goncalo Ramos 90+2' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
  • Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–1 W
21 Mar OGC Nice A 4–0 W
17 Mar Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
11 Mar Chelsea FC H 5–2 W
06 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
28 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
21 Mar FC Lorient H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W
07 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
28 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Toulouse FC
#6 Position #13
8 Points 5
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
8 Scored 7
7 Conceded 9
+1 GD -2
1.60 PPG 1.00
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Paris Saint-Germain FC launch into their encounter with Toulouse FC.
  • 5' Dayann Methalie has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Paris Saint-Germain FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Toulouse FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris Saint-Germain FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ousmane Dembele makes it 1-0.
  • 27' Rasmus Nicolaisen makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Toulouse FC are in front.
  • 32' Lucas Beraldo, a Brazil , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 33' Ousmane Dembele doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Cristian Casseres Jr. on 36 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
  • 41' The 21-year-old Guillaume Restes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' France international Lucas Hernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris Saint-Germain FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. Kang-in Lee is replaced by Joao Neves on 59 minute.
  • 64' Jacen Russell-Rowe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
  • 67' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Warren Kamanzi is hanging Dayann Methalie on the field on 67 minute.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Khvicha Kvaratskhelia as he leaves the pitch. Nuno Mendes steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cristian Casseres Jr., as he is very good at scoring at Parc des Princes with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 83' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Cristian Casseres Jr. exits the field as Mario Sauer enters on 83.
  • 87' Goncalo Ramos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Desire Doue at the 87 minute mark.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.62 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC62% Draw19% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
38%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Toulouse FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC46% Draw36% Toulouse FC18%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 20% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.