Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Wattellier
- Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
- Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nantes | 34 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Metz | 34 | 17 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Racing Club de Lens | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lille OSC | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Olympique de Marseille | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Monaco FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Toulouse FC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | ES Troyes AC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Mans FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AJ Auxerre | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | OGC Nice | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Toulouse FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | OGC Nice | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Chelsea FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Chelsea FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 06 Mar | AS Monaco FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FC Metz | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Paris FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Paris Saint-Germain FC host Toulouse FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Paris Saint-Germain FC is showing some good football. However, Paris Saint-Germain FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jacen Russell-Rowe, as he is very good at scoring at Parc des Princes with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 23' What composure from Ousmane Dembele! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 27' Rasmus Nicolaisen adds to his 0 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 32' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Cristian Casseres Jr. has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Brilliant from the ! Ousmane Dembele makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 33.
- 36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cristian Casseres Jr. on 36 minutes.
- 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 51' Paris Saint-Germain FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 59' Kang-in Lee makes way for Joao Neves at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 67' Warren Kamanzi gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Dayann Methalie and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia makes way for Nuno Mendes at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Illia Zabarnyi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 83' Mario Sauer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cristian Casseres Jr. at the 83 minute mark.
- 87' Fresh legs for Paris Saint-Germain FC! Goncalo Ramos comes on to replace Desire Doue.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paris Saint-Germain FC players.
Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 39
- 7
- 6
-
4
Lucas Beraldo ↓ Vitinha 67'
- 51
-
14
Desire Doue ↓ Goncalo Ramos 87'
- 33
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↓ Joao Neves 59'
Bench
- 5
-
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 87'
-
25
Nuno Mendes ↑ 68'
- 30
-
17
Vitinha ↑ 67'
-
87
Joao Neves ↑ 59'
- 89
- 49
- 27
Coach
Luis Enrique
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Ilyas Azizi 83'
- 10
- 23
- 3
- 2
-
20
Emersonn ↓ Jacen Russell-Rowe 83'
- 1
- 18
- 15
- 24
- 35
Bench
-
13
Jacen Russell-Rowe ↑ 83'
- 16
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 67'
-
77
Mario Sauer ↑ 83'
- 45
- 40
-
37
Ilyas Azizi ↑ 83'
- 7
- 44
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 2 |
| Neymar | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 |
| Lucas Beraldo | 1 |
| Mathieu Goncalves | 1 |
| Vitinha | 1 |
| Juan Bernat | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2026-04-03
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Toulouse FC
W
2026-03-21
OGC Nice
0–4
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2026-03-17
Chelsea FC
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2026-03-11
Paris Saint-Germain FC
5–2
Chelsea FC
W
2026-03-06
Paris Saint-Germain FC
1–3
AS Monaco FC
L
2026-02-28
Le Havre AC
0–1
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
46%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Toulouse FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Handicap | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

