Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,710 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 23' 1–0
1–1 27' Rasmus Nicolaisen
Ousmane Dembele 33' 2–1
Goncalo Ramos 90+2' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
  • Assistant 1 Cedric Favre
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–1 W
21 Mar OGC Nice A 4–0 W
17 Mar Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
11 Mar Chelsea FC H 5–2 W
06 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
28 Feb Le Havre AC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
21 Mar FC Lorient H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Metz A 4–3 W
07 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 0–1 L
28 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
21 Feb Paris FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Toulouse FC
#3 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Toulouse FC gets underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kang-in Lee made 520 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' GOAL! Ousmane Dembele scores on 23.
  • 27' What a strike from Rasmus Nicolaisen! The score is 1-1.
  • 32' It looks surprising Paris Saint-Germain FC does not make any changes. Mark McKenzie has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' Paris Saint-Germain FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ousmane Dembele on 33.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cristian Casseres Jr. on 36.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris Saint-Germain FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paris Saint-Germain FC that had 520 games and scored 844 goals.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. Kang-in Lee is replaced by Joao Neves on 59 minute.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 67' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 67 minute. Dayann Methalie leaves to be changed by Warren Kamanzi.
  • 68' Nuno Mendes is replacing Khvicha Kvaratskhelia for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
  • 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mario Sauer is hanging Cristian Casseres Jr. on the field on 83 minute.
  • 87' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace Desire Doue by Goncalo Ramos on 87 minute.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.46 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC54% Draw27% Toulouse FC19%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Toulouse FC
46%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Toulouse FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC34% Draw50% Toulouse FC16%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.