VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfB Stuttgart

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfB Stuttgart 3 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Felix Zwayer

10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
2	FC Augsburg	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	9
4	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
5	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	7
7	RB Leipzig	3	6
8	SV 07 Elversberg	3	6
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	4
10	FC Schalke 04	3	4
11	SV Werder Bremen	4	4
12	1. FC Koln	4	4
13	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	Hamburger SV	4	3
16	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
23 Oct	Fenerbahçe SK	A	0–1	L
18 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–0	W
05 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–0	W
02 Oct	FC Basel 1893	A	0–2	L
28 Sep	1. FC Koln	A	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
18 Oct	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–4	L
05 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		1. FSV Mainz 05
#14	Position	#5
3	Points	7
3	Played	4
1 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
6	Scored	8
8	Conceded	4
-2	GD	+4
1.00	PPG	1.75
33%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

67% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 14th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	3 G
Sheraldo Becker	1 G	2 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
With this win, VfB Stuttgart is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Deniz Undav	1

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-10-23 Fenerbahçe SK 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-10-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-10-05 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-10-02 FC Basel 1893 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-09-28 1. FC Koln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.7 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.02 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 78% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart42% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

64%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

58%

VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart26% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0535%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

5.4%

0 – 2

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.9%

0 – 0

3.7%

2 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.