Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
AC Milan
1 – 0
Full Time
US Lecce
Sun 18 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs US Lecce — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 US Cremonese 38 34
2 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
3 AC Pisa 1909 38 18
4 FC Internazionale Milano 0 0
5 SSC Napoli 0 0
6 AS Roma 0 0
7 Como 1907 0 0
8 AC Milan 0 0
9 Juventus FC 0 0
10 Atalanta BC 0 0
11 Bologna FC 1909 0 0
12 SS Lazio 0 0
13 Udinese Calcio 0 0
14 US Sassuolo Calcio 0 0
15 Torino FC 0 0
16 Parma Calcio 1913 0 0
17 Cagliari Calcio 0 0
18 ACF Fiorentina 0 0
19 Genoa CFC 0 0
20 US Lecce 0 0
21 AC Monza 0 0
22 Venezia FC 0 0
23 Frosinone Calcio 0 0

Head-to-Head

7
3
AC Milan 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals US Lecce
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan US Lecce H 1–0 W
15 Jan Como 1907 A 3–1 W
11 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D
08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W
US Lecce
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan AC Milan A 0–1 L
14 Jan FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
11 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–2 L
06 Jan AS Roma H 0–2 L
03 Jan Juventus FC A 1–1 D
27 Dec Como 1907 H 0–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan US Lecce
#8 Position #20
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). US Lecce are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome US Lecce for this crunch clash at .
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. AC Milan take all three points.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 5
Christian Pulisic 4
Olivier Giroud 2
Davide Calabria 2
Nikola Krstovic 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Tijjani Reijnders 1
Marco Calderoni 1

Head to Head

2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce

AC Milan Form

2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce W 2026-01-15 Como 1907 1–3 AC Milan W 2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-08 AC Milan 1–1 Genoa CFC D 2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan W 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona FC W

US Lecce Form

2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce L 2026-01-14 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 US Lecce L 2026-01-11 US Lecce 1–2 Parma Calcio 1913 L 2026-01-06 US Lecce 0–2 AS Roma L 2026-01-03 Juventus FC 1–1 US Lecce D 2025-12-27 US Lecce 0–3 Como 1907 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.87 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan54% Draw35% US Lecce11%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
90%
Draw or US Lecce
46%
AC Milan or US Lecce
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan26% Draw68% US Lecce6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.9%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
1.3%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.7%
2 – 2
0.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 30% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 9% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
74% ✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.