AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
22 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87 2 SSC Napoli 38 76 3 AS Roma 38 73 4 Como 1907 38 71 5 AC Milan 38 70 6 Juventus FC 38 69 7 Atalanta BC 38 59 8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56 9 SS Lazio 38 54 10 Udinese Calcio 38 50 11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49 12 Torino FC 38 45 13 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45 14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43 15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42 16 Genoa CFC 38 41 17 US Lecce 38 38 18 US Cremonese 38 34 19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21 20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 Jan US Lecce H 1–0 W 15 Jan Como 1907 A 3–1 W 11 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D 08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D 02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W 28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 Jan AC Milan A 0–1 L 14 Jan FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L 11 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–2 L 06 Jan AS Roma H 0–2 L 03 Jan Juventus FC A 1–1 D 27 Dec Como 1907 H 0–3 L Season Stats
AC Milan US Lecce #5 Position #17 70 Points 38 38 Played 38 20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 20 53 Scored 28 35 Conceded 50 +18 GD -22 1.84 PPG 1.00 53% Win % 26% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history41% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season24% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this seasonAC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan0-151/216-30–/231-451/146-601/361-75–/176+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededUS Lecce0-152/116-301/431-45–/–46-601/261-752/176+1/2■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
AC MilanRafael Leao 9 G 3 A Christian Pulisic 8 G 3 A Adrien Rabiot 6 G 4 A -
Events
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Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Rafael Leao 5 Christian Pulisic 4 Olivier Giroud 2 Davide Calabria 2 Nikola Krstovic 2 Theo Hernandez 2 Khouma Babacar 1 Tijjani Reijnders 1 Head to Head
AC Milan Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.74 AC Milan xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.43 US Lecce xGI would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 70% + AC Milan to win 70%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.17Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 87% 13% ± 1.5 63% 37% ± 2.5 37% 63% ± 3.5 18% 82% ± 4.5 8% 92% Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw 92%Draw or US Lecce 30%AC Milan or US Lecce 78%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 Actual2 – 0 16.7%0 – 0 13.3%3 – 0 9.5%1 – 1 9%2 – 1 7.3%3 – 1 4.4%4 – 0 4.2%0 – 1 4%4 – 1 2%1 – 2 1.7%2 – 2 1.6%Asian Handicap — AC Milan
Handicap AC Milan covers Push US Lecce covers -2.5 19% — 81% -2 19% 22% 59% -1.5 41% — 59% -1 41% 28% 32% -0.5 68% — 32% +0.5 93% — 7% +1 93% 6% 1% +1.5 99% — 1% +2 99% 1% 0% +2.5 100% — 0% Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet 65% ✓US Lecce keeps clean sheet 18% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.