1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 4

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Florian Exner

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–4	L
05 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	4–3	W
04 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	PSV	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	2–1	W
21 Sep	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	FC Kobenhavn	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#16	Position	#12
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen is underway.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen players.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2
Alejandro Grimaldo	2
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-10-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-10-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 PSV D 2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2025-09-18 FC Kobenhavn 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.8 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw29% Bayer 04 Leverkusen49%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

51%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

78%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw52% Bayer 04 Leverkusen33%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

0 – 1

14.5%

0 – 0

13.7%

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 2

10.4%

1 – 2

8.3%

1 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

4.8%

0 – 3

4.7%

1 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.4%

2 – 2

3.4%

2 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	14%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	25%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

46% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.