Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
3 – 4
Full Time
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

4
7
13
1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
21 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
18 Sep FC København A 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#10 Position #6
40 Points 59
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
44 Scored 68
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +21
1.18 PPG 1.74
29% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Patrik Schick 5
Lucas Alario 4
Jeremie Frimpong 2
Nadiem Amiri 2
Kai Havertz 2
Julian Brandt 2
Alejandro Grimaldo 2
Aaron Martin 2

Head to Head

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-10-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-10-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 PSV D 2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2025-09-18 FC København 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw23% Bayer 04 Leverkusen53%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
47%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen42%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 20% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 17% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.