1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 4

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Florian Exner

5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–4	L
05 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	4–3	W
04 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	PSV	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	2–1	W
21 Sep	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	FC København	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#6	Position	#5
7	Points	7
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
10	Scored	10
6	Conceded	5
+4	GD	+5
1.75	PPG	1.75
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Patrik Schick	4 G	1 A
Christian Kofane	2 G
Ibrahim Maza	1 G	1 A
Facundo Medina	1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — let the football do the talking.
1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. Bayer 04 Leverkusen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Alejandro Grimaldo	2
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-10-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-10-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 PSV D 2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2025-09-18 FC København 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.74 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.32 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0528% Draw22% Bayer 04 Leverkusen50%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

51%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

72%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw37% Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 2

7.9%

1 – 1

7.8%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 3

2 – 1

2 – 3

5.2%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

3.6%

1 – 4

3.5%

3 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	14%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	19%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	15%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.