Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfB Stuttgart
3 – 1
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 52,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Mittelstadt 45+2' 1–0
Jamie Leweling 45+5' 2–0
Deniz Undav 73' 3–0
3–1 76' Ludovic Ajorque
Atakan Karazor 82' Y
Y 84' Josuha Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

11
7
6
VfB Stuttgart 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–1 W
06 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
03 Feb SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 5–2 W
20 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
07 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
03 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
26 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
13 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 10
9 Conceded 6
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
Josha Vagnoman 2 G 1 A
Ermedin Demirovic 1 G
Grischa Promel 1 G
Bilal El Khannouss 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anthony Caci, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Josuha Guilavogui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' The Germany Maximilian Mittelstadt breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-0!
  • 46' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 46 minute. Matondo-Merveille Papela leaves to be changed by Jae-sung Lee.
  • 47' Jamie Leweling is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 50' GOAL! Jamie Leweling scores on 45. Assisted by Pascal Stenzel
  • 55' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anthony Rouault is hanging Chris Fuhrich on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Sehrou Guirassy. He replaces Jamie Leweling on 62 minute.
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Andreas Hanche-Olsen as he leaves the pitch. Tom Krauss steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 73' Against the run of play, Deniz Undav has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Ludovic Ajorque gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 76' Mahmoud Dahoud is ready to make an impact after coming on for Angelo Stiller at the 76 minute mark.
  • 79' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeong Wooyeong is hanging Deniz Undav on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Atakan Karazor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 84' The whistle greets Josuha Guilavogui as he departs to be replaced by Brajan Gruda.
  • 84' Josuha Guilavogui picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andreas Hanche-Olsen made 303 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jan Siewert

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sehrou Guirassy 5
Borna Sosa 2
Alexander Hack 2
Marcus Ingvartsen 2
Silas Wamangituka 2
Sasa Kalajdzic 2
Jamie Leweling 2
Anthony Ujah 1

Head to Head

2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-02-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-02-03 SC Freiburg 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-01-20 VfL Bochum 1848 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-01-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D 2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-01-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart48% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart32% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 18% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 17% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.