Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfB Stuttgart
3 – 1
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 11 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 52,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Mittelstadt 45+2' 1–0
Jamie Leweling 45+5' 2–0
Deniz Undav 73' 3–0
3–1 76' Ludovic Ajorque
Atakan Karazor 82' Y
Y 84' Josuha Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

11
7
6
VfB Stuttgart 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–1 W
06 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
03 Feb SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 5–2 W
20 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
07 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
03 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
26 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
13 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#10 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' VfB Stuttgart have won 440 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 44' A goal from the Germany international Maximilian Mittelstadt! He fires home on 44 to make it 1-0!
  • 46' Jae-sung Lee gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Matondo-Merveille Papela and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Jamie Leweling — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 50' A goal from the Germany international Jamie Leweling! He fires home on 45 to make it 3-0!
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Chris Fuhrich by Anthony Rouault on 61 minute.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Sehrou Guirassy. He replaces Jamie Leweling on 62 minute.
  • 67' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' The whistle greets Andreas Hanche-Olsen as he departs to be replaced by Tom Krauss.
  • 73' Deniz Undav has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 76' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ludovic Ajorque makes no mistake. 4-1!
  • 76' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Mahmoud Dahoud comes on to replace Angelo Stiller.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Deniz Undav as he leaves the pitch. Jeong Wooyeong steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 82' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Atakan Karazor gets a Yellow card.
  • 84' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Brajan Gruda on, Josuha Guilavogui off on 84 minutes.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Josuha Guilavogui.
  • 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jan Siewert

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sehrou Guirassy 5
Alexander Hack 2
Marcus Ingvartsen 2
Silas Wamangituka 2
Sasa Kalajdzic 2
Jamie Leweling 2
Borna Sosa 2
Deniz Undav 1

Head to Head

2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-02-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-02-03 SC Freiburg 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-01-27 VfB Stuttgart 5–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-01-20 VfL Bochum 1848 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-01-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D 2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-01-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart59% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0513%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
87%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
41%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart36% Draw55% 1. FSV Mainz 059%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
20.3%
0 – 0
18%
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
1.8%
0 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 18% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 28% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
61% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.