1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FC Koln

1 – 2

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

1. FC Koln 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FC Koln 15 games · Avg 1.9 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-28 1. FC Koln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart 2024-02-24 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FC Koln 2023-09-30 1. FC Koln 0–2 VfB Stuttgart 2023-02-18 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 1. FC Koln 2022-08-28 1. FC Koln 0–0 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–2	L
20 Sep	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L
13 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–3	D
31 Aug	SC Freiburg	H	4–1	W
24 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	2–1	W

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	1. FC Koln	A	2–1	W
25 Sep	RC Celta de Vigo	H	2–1	W
19 Sep	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–0	W
13 Sep	SC Freiburg	A	1–3	L
30 Aug	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	1–0	W
26 Aug	Eintracht Braunschweig	A	12–11	W

Season Stats

1. FC Koln		VfB Stuttgart
#14	Position	#4
32	Points	62
34	Played	34
7 / 11 / 16	W / D / L	18 / 8 / 8
49	Scored	71
63	Conceded	49
-14	GD	+22
0.94	PPG	1.82
21%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

27% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

9% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/6

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

2/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
With this win, VfB Stuttgart is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Anthony Modeste	4
Sasa Kalajdzic	3
Deniz Undav	2
Enzo Millot	1
Orel Mangala	1
Eric Martel	1
Sebastian Andersson	1
Louis Schaub	1

Head to Head

1. FC Koln Form

2025-09-28 1. FC Koln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-09-20 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Koln L 2025-09-13 VfL Wolfsburg 3–3 1. FC Koln D 2025-08-31 1. FC Koln 4–1 SC Freiburg W 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln W 2025-08-17 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–2 1. FC Koln W

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-09-28 1. FC Koln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-09-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RC Celta de Vigo W 2025-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-09-13 SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-08-30 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2025-08-26 Eintracht Braunschweig 11–12 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.78 1. FC Koln xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.36 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Koln30% Draw23% VfB Stuttgart47%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw

53%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

70%

1. FC Koln or VfB Stuttgart

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Koln25% Draw37% VfB Stuttgart38%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 3

2 – 1

5.9%

2 – 3

5.3%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 2

1 – 4

3.5%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap	1. FC Koln covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	14%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	19%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	15%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.