Monday , 27 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrik Schick 25' 1–0
Nathan Tella 45' 2–0
Patrik Schick 76' 3–0
Patrik Schick 89' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
25 Apr 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–2 L
18 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
04 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 6–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
20 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen RB Leipzig
#6 Position #3
59 Points 65
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
68 Scored 66
47 Conceded 47
+21 GD +19
1.74 PPG 1.91
50% Win % 59%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Bayer 04 Leverkusen welcome RB Leipzig for this crunch clash at BayArena.
  • 5' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' Max Finkgrafe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 14.
  • 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nicolas Seiwald is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' GOAL! Patrik Schick scores on 25. Assisted by Nathan Tella
  • 30' Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 541 games and scored 751 goals.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Robert Andrich made 280 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Nathan Tella is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' Aleix Garcia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 60' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 70' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Xaver Schlager. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' Patrik Schick does the damage! The net is bulging and Bayer 04 Leverkusen surge ahead!
  • 80' The Austria Christoph Baumgartner breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 3-1!
  • 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Christoph Baumgartner.
  • 89' Patrik Schick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51% Draw22% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
73%
Draw or RB Leipzig
49%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39% Draw37% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 19% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
18%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.