Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 33 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 33 games · 70 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 33 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Chapecoense AF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 9 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 3 |
| 37 | Scored | 56 |
| 44 | Conceded | 22 |
| -7 | GD | +34 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 27% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
48%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (37 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (70 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/5
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
6/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 9 G | 6 A |
| Mauricio | 9 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Gremio FBPA welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Mauricio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 339 games and scored 397 goals.
- 20' Arthur Santana has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 36 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gremio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 33' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Agustin Giay gets a card.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Martins suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Erick Noriega.
- 45' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danilo Barbosa is hanging Erick Noriega on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Andreas Pereira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
- 67' A moment of madness from Carlos Vinicius on 67 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 68' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Jose Enamorado on, Cristian Pavon off on 68 minutes.
- 69' Jovane Cabral gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Francis Amuzu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Gustavo Martins picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Felipe Anderson comes on to replace Vitor Roque.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexander Barboza on 73 minutes.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Martin Braithwaite. He replaces Carlos Vinicius on 74 minute.
- 77' Joaquin Piquerez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
- 79' Lucas Evangelista catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
- 80' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Lucas Evangelista by Mauricio on 80 minute.
- 81' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro trudges off to be replaced by Marcos Rocha on 81 minutes.
- 86' The 19-year-old Pedro Gabriel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ramon Sosa on 88.
- 89' Khellven gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Agustin Giay and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Pedro Gabriel was booked on 89.
- It finishes all square. Gremio FBPA and SE Palmeiras share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 95
- 18
- 7
- 9
- 20
- 8
- 6
- 54
- 82
Bench
- 14
- 22
- 77
- 10
- 11
- 30
- 15
- 12
- 3
- 99
- 43
- 50
Coach
Luis Castro
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↓ Mauricio 80'
- 30
- 2
- 1
- 17
- 42
- 22
-
11
Jhon Arias ↓ Felipe Anderson 72'
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Ramon Sosa 72'
-
4
Agustin Giay ↓ Khellven 89'
Bench
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 72'
- 14
- 3
-
12
Khellven ↑ 89'
-
18
Mauricio ↑ 80'
- 32
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 72'
- 43
- 48
-
56
Arthur Santana ↑ 80'
- 50
- 39
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.77
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
75%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
4.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
2 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

