FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Augsburg

1 – 4

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Augsburg 34 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Schlager

20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-02-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC Augsburg 2024-09-20 FC Augsburg 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 FC Augsburg 2023-09-23 FC Augsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Augsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–4	L
14 Sep	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
23 Aug	SC Freiburg	A	3–1	W
17 Aug	Hallescher FC	A	2–0	W
17 May	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	1. FC Koln	H	0–1	L
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

FC Augsburg		1. FSV Mainz 05
#9	Position	#10
43	Points	40
34	Played	34
12 / 7 / 15	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
45	Scored	44
61	Conceded	53
-16	GD	-9
1.26	PPG	1.18
35%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Augsburg are 9th (43 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg

0-15

3/2

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Augsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 has kicked off!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Augsburg.

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ermedin Demirovic	4
Karim Onisiwo	4
Andre Hahn	4
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Alfred Finnbogason	3
Lee Jaesung	3
Ruben Vargas	3
Florian Niederlechner	2

Head to Head

FC Augsburg Form

2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 FC Augsburg L 2025-08-30 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2025-08-23 SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg W 2025-08-17 Hallescher FC 0–2 FC Augsburg W 2025-05-17 FC Augsburg 1–2 1. FC Union Berlin L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 FC Augsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Augsburg27% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw

52%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Augsburg20% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0538%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 2

7.5%

0 – 1

7.2%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.6%

0 – 3

4.8%

1 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap	FC Augsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	21%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.