Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 56' Sehrou Guirassy
1–2 84' Sehrou Guirassy
1–3 90+7' Sehrou Guirassy

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
27 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
02 Sep SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
25 Aug RB Leipzig A 1–5 L
19 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–0 W
12 Aug TSG Balingen A 4–0 W
27 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart
#16 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart has kicked off!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 11' Poor challenge from Anthony Caci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 16' Germany international Deniz Undav has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matondo-Merveille Papela made 436 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' Anthony Caci needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sehrou Guirassy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 56' Brilliant from the ! Sehrou Guirassy makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 59' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Ludovic Ajorque on, Marco Richter off on 59 minutes.
  • 60' Poor challenge from Angelo Stiller. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 67.
  • 67' Waldemar Anton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 67.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Silas Katompa Mvumpa as he leaves the pitch. Maximilian Mittelstadt steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 69' Leandro Barreiro Martins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Leandro Barreiro Martins puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
  • 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' Matondo-Merveille Papela is ready to make an impact after coming on for Karim Onisiwo at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Karim Onisiwo exits the field as Matondo-Merveille Papela enters on 79.
  • 84' GOAL! Sehrou Guirassy scores on 84. Assisted by Chris Fuhrich
  • 85' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Chris Fuhrich by Deniz Undav on 85 minute.
  • 90' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Hiroki Ito is replaced by Anthony Rouault on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw32% VfB Stuttgart46%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
54%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
78%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0513% Draw57% VfB Stuttgart30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.9%
0 – 1
17.7%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 2
10.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 4
1.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 14% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 26% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 14% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.