1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

1. FSV Mainz 05

1 – 3

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,500 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 56' Sehrou Guirassy

Leandro Barreiro Martins 69' 1–1

1–2 84' Sehrou Guirassy

1–3 90+7' Sehrou Guirassy

Anthony Caci 11' Y

Y 60' Angelo Stiller

Y 67' Waldemar Anton

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers
Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer

10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart 2021-11-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–3	L
02 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–4	L
27 Aug	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
20 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–4	L
12 Aug	SV 07 Elversberg	A	1–0	W
27 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–2	D

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	3–1	W
02 Sep	SC Freiburg	H	5–0	W
25 Aug	RB Leipzig	A	1–5	L
19 Aug	VfL Bochum 1848	H	5–0	W
12 Aug	TSG Balingen	A	4–0	W
27 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#12	Position	#8
10	Points	12
9	Played	9
3 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 5
18	Scored	15
19	Conceded	15
-1	GD	+0
1.11	PPG	1.33
33%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

VfB Stuttgart

Ermedin Demirovic	5 G
Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Maximilian Mittelstadt	2 G	1 A
Bilal El Khannouss	2 G
Grischa Promel	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to MEWA Arena that hosts another battle between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anthony Caci on 11.
16' Waldemar Anton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfB Stuttgart backline.
41' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' Robin Zentner has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
51' Sehrou Guirassy has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 13 goals to his name this season.
56' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sehrou Guirassy makes no mistake. 0-1!
59' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Marco Richter departs to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque.
60' The referee calls foul for Angelo Stiller. He receives a Yellow card.
65' Leandro Barreiro Martins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
67' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Aymen Barkok comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
67' Waldemar Anton is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
68' Maximilian Mittelstadt gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Silas Katompa Mvumpa and will look to change the dynamic.
69' The Luxembourg Leandro Barreiro Martins breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 1-1!
70' A goal from the Luxembourg international Leandro Barreiro Martins! He fires home on 70 to make it 2-1!
75' VfB Stuttgart fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matondo-Merveille Papela is hanging Karim Onisiwo on the field on 78 minute.
79' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 79 minute. Karim Onisiwo leaves to be changed by Matondo-Merveille Papela.
84' What a strike from Sehrou Guirassy! The score is 2-2.
85' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Chris Fuhrich departs to be replaced by Deniz Undav.
90' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Hiroki Ito exits the field as Anthony Rouault enters on 90.
VfB Stuttgart celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

3
Sepp van den Berg
19
Anthony Caci
31
Dominik Kohr
10
Marco Richter ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 59'
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Tom Krauss 67'
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Matondo-Merveille Papela 78'
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins
20
Edimilson Fernandes
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 67'

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou
2
Waldemar Anton
33
Alexander Nubel
15
Pascal Stenzel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Deniz Undav 85'
9
Sehrou Guirassy
21
Hiroki Ito ↓ Anthony Rouault 90'
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Jamie Leweling 85'
6
Angelo Stiller
14
Silas Katompa Mvumpa ↓ Maximilian Mittelstadt 68'

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Maximilian Mittelstadt	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-08-12 SV 07 Elversberg 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

VfB Stuttgart Form

2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2023-09-02 VfB Stuttgart 5–0 SC Freiburg W 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-08-19 VfB Stuttgart 5–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2023-08-12 TSG Balingen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2023-05-27 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.75 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.13 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0531% Draw24% VfB Stuttgart45%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

55%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

69%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw38% VfB Stuttgart36%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.6%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 2

0 – 1

3.9%

3 – 1

3.8%

0 – 3

3.3%

2 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	9%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.