1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer
19 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Aug | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | RB Leipzig | A | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | TSG Balingen | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 40 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 44 | Scored | 71 |
| 53 | Conceded | 49 |
| -9 | GD | +22 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds MEWA Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart.
- 5' Dan-Axel Zagadou, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 11' Anthony Caci catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 11.
- 16' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' Anthony Rouault has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 420 appearances.
- 26' Robin Zentner has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anthony Caci suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' VfB Stuttgart looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 46' Silas Katompa Mvumpa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 51' Chris Fuhrich is a natural left winger and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 56' Sehrou Guirassy adds to his 8 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 59' The whistle greets Marco Richter as he departs to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque.
- 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Angelo Stiller.
- 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 67' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Aymen Barkok comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Waldemar Anton is booked for VfB Stuttgart — Yellow card on 67.
- 68' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maximilian Mittelstadt is hanging Silas Katompa Mvumpa on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' A goal from the Luxembourg international Leandro Barreiro Martins! He fires home on 69 to make it 1-1!
- 70' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leandro Barreiro Martins on 70.
- 75' The 29-year-old Waldemar Anton has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 78' Matondo-Merveille Papela has so much to prove this time. He replaces Karim Onisiwo on 78 minute.
- 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Karim Onisiwo has done his job and it is now time for Matondo-Merveille Papela to step up.
- 84' Assisted by Chris Fuhrich with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sehrou Guirassy makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 85' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Chris Fuhrich by Deniz Undav on 85 minute.
- 90' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Hiroki Ito is replaced by Anthony Rouault.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
-
10
Marco Richter ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 59'
- 2
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Tom Krauss 67'
- 9
- 8
- 20
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 67'
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 59'
- 21
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 67'
- 33
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 67'
-
24
Matondo-Merveille Papela ↑ 78'
- 1
- 45
Coach
Bo Svensson
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 33
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Deniz Undav 85'
- 9
-
21
Hiroki Ito ↓ Anthony Rouault 90'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Jamie Leweling 85'
- 6
- 14
Bench
-
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 68'
- 32
- 1
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 85'
- 25
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 85'
-
29
Anthony Rouault ↑ 90'
- 19
- 40
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-09-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
VfB Stuttgart
L
2023-09-02
SV Werder Bremen
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-08-27
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2023-08-20
1. FC Union Berlin
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-08-12
SV 07 Elversberg
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2023-05-27
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
48%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.