1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

1. FSV Mainz 05

1 – 3

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,500 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 56' Sehrou Guirassy

Leandro Barreiro Martins 69' 1–1

1–2 84' Sehrou Guirassy

1–3 90+7' Sehrou Guirassy

Anthony Caci 11' Y

Y 60' Angelo Stiller

Y 67' Waldemar Anton

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers
Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer

5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-04-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 VfB Stuttgart 2021-11-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–3	L
02 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–4	L
27 Aug	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
20 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–4	L
12 Aug	SV 07 Elversberg	A	1–0	W
27 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–2	D

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	3–1	W
02 Sep	SC Freiburg	H	5–0	W
25 Aug	RB Leipzig	A	1–5	L
19 Aug	VfL Bochum 1848	H	5–0	W
12 Aug	TSG Balingen	A	4–0	W
27 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#6	Position	#15
7	Points	3
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
10	Scored	6
6	Conceded	9
+4	GD	-3
1.75	PPG	0.75
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart get this one started.
5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
10' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
11' Poor challenge from Anthony Caci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Waldemar Anton made 296 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
26' VfB Stuttgart have won 451 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
31' Jae-sung Lee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
46' Karim Onisiwo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
51' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
56' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sehrou Guirassy makes no mistake. 0-1!
59' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Marco Richter departs to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque.
60' Poor challenge from Angelo Stiller. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
67' Jae-sung Lee makes way for Aymen Barkok at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
67' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Waldemar Anton.
68' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Silas Katompa Mvumpa trudges off to be replaced by Maximilian Mittelstadt on 68 minutes.
69' What a moment for Leandro Barreiro Martins! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
70' Leandro Barreiro Martins makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
78' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Karim Onisiwo is replaced by Matondo-Merveille Papela on 78 minute.
79' The crowd applauds Karim Onisiwo as he leaves the pitch. Matondo-Merveille Papela steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
84' Assisted by Chris Fuhrich with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sehrou Guirassy makes no mistake. 2-2!
85' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 85 minute. Chris Fuhrich leaves to be changed by Deniz Undav.
90' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 90 minute. Hiroki Ito leaves to be changed by Anthony Rouault.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-3 VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

3
Sepp van den Berg
19
Anthony Caci
31
Dominik Kohr
10
Marco Richter ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 59'
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Tom Krauss 67'
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Matondo-Merveille Papela 78'
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins
20
Edimilson Fernandes
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 67'

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou
2
Waldemar Anton
33
Alexander Nubel
15
Pascal Stenzel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Deniz Undav 85'
9
Sehrou Guirassy
21
Hiroki Ito ↓ Anthony Rouault 90'
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Jamie Leweling 85'
6
Angelo Stiller
14
Silas Katompa Mvumpa ↓ Maximilian Mittelstadt 68'

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Daniel Didavi	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-08-12 SV 07 Elversberg 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

VfB Stuttgart Form

2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2023-09-02 VfB Stuttgart 5–0 SC Freiburg W 2023-08-25 RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-08-19 VfB Stuttgart 5–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2023-08-12 TSG Balingen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2023-05-27 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.35 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0544% Draw23% VfB Stuttgart33%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

67%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

56%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0539% Draw37% VfB Stuttgart24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.7%

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

1 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	19%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.