1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Thorben Siewer
5 games this season
🟨 0.2/game
⚽ 3.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Aug | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | RB Leipzig | A | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | TSG Balingen | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart has kicked off!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 11' Poor challenge from Anthony Caci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 16' Germany international Deniz Undav has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matondo-Merveille Papela made 436 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' Anthony Caci needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sehrou Guirassy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfB Stuttgart.
- 56' Brilliant from the ! Sehrou Guirassy makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 56.
- 59' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Ludovic Ajorque on, Marco Richter off on 59 minutes.
- 60' Poor challenge from Angelo Stiller. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 67' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 67.
- 67' Waldemar Anton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 67.
- 68' The crowd applauds Silas Katompa Mvumpa as he leaves the pitch. Maximilian Mittelstadt steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
- 69' Leandro Barreiro Martins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
- 70' Leandro Barreiro Martins puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
- 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 78' Matondo-Merveille Papela is ready to make an impact after coming on for Karim Onisiwo at the 78 minute mark.
- 79' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Karim Onisiwo exits the field as Matondo-Merveille Papela enters on 79.
- 84' GOAL! Sehrou Guirassy scores on 84. Assisted by Chris Fuhrich
- 85' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Chris Fuhrich by Deniz Undav on 85 minute.
- 90' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Hiroki Ito is replaced by Anthony Rouault on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
-
10
Marco Richter ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 59'
- 2
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Tom Krauss 67'
- 9
- 8
- 20
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 67'
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 59'
- 21
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 67'
- 33
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 67'
-
24
Matondo-Merveille Papela ↑ 78'
- 1
- 45
Coach
Bo Svensson
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 33
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Deniz Undav 85'
- 9
-
21
Hiroki Ito ↓ Anthony Rouault 90'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Jamie Leweling 85'
- 6
- 14
Bench
-
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 68'
- 32
- 1
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 85'
- 25
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 85'
-
29
Anthony Rouault ↑ 90'
- 19
- 40
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-09-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
VfB Stuttgart
L
2023-09-02
SV Werder Bremen
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-08-27
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2023-08-20
1. FC Union Berlin
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-08-12
SV 07 Elversberg
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2023-05-27
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
54%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
78%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.9%
0 – 1
17.7%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 2
10.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 4
1.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 14% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 14% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

