Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC NapoliSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep SSC Napoli H 1–3 L
31 Aug Torino FC A 0–0 D
24 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
25 May Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
18 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 3–1 W
30 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
23 May Cagliari Calcio H 2–0 W
18 May Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–0 D
11 May Genoa CFC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina SSC Napoli
#15 Position #2
42 Points 76
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 8
41 Scored 58
50 Conceded 36
-9 GD +22
1.11 PPG 2.00
24% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina23% Draw25% SSC Napoli52%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
49%
Draw or SSC Napoli
77%
ACF Fiorentina or SSC Napoli
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina17% Draw42% SSC Napoli41%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
15%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.