Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at PNC Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 29 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 28 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #8 |
| 46 | Points | 36 |
| 29 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 9 / 10 |
| 39 | Scored | 60 |
| 37 | Conceded | 68 |
| +2 | GD | -8 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 45% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (46 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
9/4
46-60
5/4
61-75
5/3
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 7 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 7 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 9 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at PNC Stadium as Houston Dynamo face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 10' Lucas Halter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 382 appearances.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Houston Dynamo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Felipe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 25' Jonathan Bond has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' Guilherme adds to his 9 season tally! Houston Dynamo lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 43' Houston Dynamo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 48' Ayoub Jabbari needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 51' What a moment for Mateusz Bogusz! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 54' The crowd applauds Ender Echenique as he leaves the pitch. Bryan Ramirez steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 55' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teenage Hadebe is hanging Nick Hagglund on the field on 55 minute.
- 60' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 65' Houston Dynamo make a change. Agustin Bouzat trudges off to be replaced by Diadie Samassekou on 65 minutes.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 255 games and scored 368 goals.
- 73' Bryan Ramirez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the forward.
- 78' Kenji Mboma, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 81' Ibrahim Aliyu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hector Herrera at the 81 minute mark.
- 84' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Pavel Bucha is withdrawn and Kyle Smith gets his opportunity.
- 87' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Ayoub Jabbari on, Gerardo Valenzuela off on 87 minutes.
- 90' The whistle greets Guilherme as he departs to be replaced by Duncan McGuire.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 3
- 31
-
16
Hector Herrera ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 81'
- 6
- 30
-
20
Guilherme ↓ Duncan McGuire 90'
- 5
- 19
- 21
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↓ Matthew Arana 81'
- 36
Bench
- 14
-
18
Diadie Samassekou ↑ 65'
- 17
-
23
Duncan McGuire ↑ 90'
-
24
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 81'
- 26
-
22
Matthew Arana ↑ 81'
- 37
Coach
Ben Olsen
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Teenage Hadebe 55'
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Kyle Smith 84'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tom Barlow 54'
- 9
- 18
- 22
- 17
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Bryan Ramirez 54'
- 11
Bench
- 13
- 2
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 84'
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 54'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 55'
- 14
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 87'
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↑ 54'
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Victor Ulloa | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Nick Hagglund | 1 |
| Bryan Ramirez | 1 |
| Kekuta Manneh | 1 |
| Rashawn Dally | 1 |
| Tyler Pasher | 1 |
| Alvaro Barreal | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
51%
Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.