Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
4 – 0
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

3
3
3
Hamburger SV 9 games · Avg 2.2 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-12-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05
#16 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
2 Scored 10
13 Conceded 6
-11 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phillip Tietz 2
Sheraldo Becker 1
Philipp Mwene 1
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1

Head to Head

2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-12-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Form

2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2025-09-20 Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-09-13 FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-08-29 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-08-24 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.26 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV28% Draw20% 1. FSV Mainz 0552%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
48%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV16% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0548%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 4
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.3%
0 – 4
3.9%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 36% — 64%
+1 36% 20% 44%
+1.5 56% — 44%
+2 56% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% — 26%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
8% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.