Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05
#19 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as Hamburger SV face off against 1. FSV Mainz 05 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • The final score is 4-0.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV48% Draw33% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
82%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV28% Draw61% 1. FSV Mainz 0511%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.4%
1 – 0
20.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.2%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 27% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 13% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
59%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.