Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
4 – 0
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 25.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern Munchen 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Koln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Monchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

3
3
3
Hamburger SV 9 games · Avg 2.2 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-12-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern Munchen A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #12
12 Points 10
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
10 Scored 18
20 Conceded 19
-10 GD -1
1.33 PPG 1.11
44% Win % 33%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phillip Tietz 2
Sheraldo Becker 1
Philipp Mwene 1
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1

Head to Head

2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-12-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Form

2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2025-09-20 Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-09-13 FC Bayern Munchen 5–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-08-29 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-08-24 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05 77% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV44% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV30% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 17% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
18% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.