Saturday , 4 July 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–2 L
08 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–1 W
28 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–2 L
14 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–3 L
07 Feb SC Freiburg A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #10
32 Points 40
34 Played 34
8 / 8 / 18 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
37 Scored 44
60 Conceded 53
-23 GD -9
0.94 PPG 1.18
24% Win % 29%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 SV Werder Bremen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV Werder Bremen34% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw
63%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%
SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV Werder Bremen22% Draw50% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap SV Werder Bremen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
28%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.