Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Marvin Ducksch

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
26 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
13 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
16 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
10 Dec 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
27 Jan SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
21 Jan FC Bayern München A 1–0 W
14 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Dec RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
15 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
#16 Position #21
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 21st (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.34 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 84%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw44% SV Werder Bremen36%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes16% 0% No84%
Avg goals/match: 0.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 59%
41%
± 1.5 26%
74%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
64%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
80%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen
56%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 058% Draw74% SV Werder Bremen18%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
40.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 0
1.8%
2 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
1.4%
1 – 3
0.7%
2 – 2
0.6%
0 – 4
0.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 13% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 25% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
54%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
71%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.