1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 1

Full Time

SV Werder Bremen

Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 2' Marvin Ducksch

Y 35' Niklas Stark

Y 45' Jens Stage

Tom Krauss 67' Y

Nadiem Amiri 79' Y

Marco Richter 87' Y

Anthony Caci 88' Y

Y 88' Leonardo Bittencourt

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals SV Werder Bremen

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-04-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SV Werder Bremen 2022-10-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-04-21 SV Werder Bremen 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L
26 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L
13 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–1	D
19 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
16 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	0–1	L
10 Dec	1. FC Koln	A	0–0	D

SV Werder Bremen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–0	W
27 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	3–1	W
21 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	1–0	W
14 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	A	1–1	D
19 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	1–1	D
15 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		SV Werder Bremen
#10	Position	#15
40	Points	32
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 18
44	Scored	37
53	Conceded	60
-9	GD	-23
1.18	PPG	0.94
29%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

SV Werder Bremen

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
2' What a moment for Marvin Ducksch! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
7' Felix Agu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
12' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SV Werder Bremen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
17' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
22' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
27' Tom Krauss has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 513 appearances.
32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FSV Mainz 05 winning 50% of all matches.
35' It’s a booking for SV Werder Bremen player. Niklas Stark gets a Yellow card.
40' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
45' A moment of madness from Jens Stage on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SV Werder Bremen will be frustrated.
50' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SV Werder Bremen backline.
55' Jens Stage is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
60' Senne Lynen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
63' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Ludovic Ajorque on 63 minute.
67' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 67.
69' Rafael Borre has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marvin Ducksch on 69 minute.
72' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Tom Krauss is replaced by Marco Richter.
77' It looks surprising SV Werder Bremen does not make any changes. Leandro Barreiro Martins has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
84' The supporters are chanting for David Mamutovic. He replaces Jessic Ngankam on 84 minute.
85' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 85 minute. Nadiem Amiri leaves to be changed by Dominik Kohr.
86' The supporters are chanting for Christian Gross. He replaces Jens Stage on 86 minute.
87' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Richter argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
88' The referee has no hesitation. Anthony Caci is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 88.
90' SV Werder Bremen ring the changes. Felix Agu has done his job and it is now time for Julian Malatini to step up.
With this win, SV Werder Bremen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

3
Sepp van den Berg
19
Anthony Caci
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Edimilson Fernandes 84'
27
Robin Zentner
9
Karim Onisiwo
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 63'
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Dominik Kohr 85'
30
Silvan Widmer
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Marco Richter 72'
11
Jessic Ngankam ↓ David Mamutovic 84'

Bench

Coach Jan Siewert

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

30
Michael Zetterer
32
Marco Friedl
4
Niklas Stark
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Rafael Borre 69'
20
Romano Schmid ↓ Leonardo Bittencourt 69'
2
Olivier Deman
3
Anthony Jung
27
Felix Agu ↓ Julian Malatini 90'
6
Jens Stage ↓ Christian Gross 86'
14
Senne Lynen
17
Justin Njinmah ↓ Nick Woltemade 69'

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robin Quaison	5
Marvin Ducksch	3
Leonardo Bittencourt	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Max Kruse	2
Jens Stage	2
Yuya Osako	1
Jean-Paul Boetius	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-01-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-12-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L 2023-12-10 1. FC Koln 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

SV Werder Bremen Form

2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen W 2024-01-27 SV Werder Bremen 3–1 SC Freiburg W 2024-01-21 FC Bayern München 0–1 SV Werder Bremen W 2024-01-14 VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D 2023-12-19 SV Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2023-12-15 Borussia Monchengladbach 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.15 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 SV Werder Bremen xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw31% SV Werder Bremen35%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.28

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

65%

Draw or SV Werder Bremen

66%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0525% Draw51% SV Werder Bremen24%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

12.5%

1 – 0

10.5%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

6.5%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

2.9%

1 – 3

2.8%

3 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	19%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.