Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Marvin Ducksch

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
26 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
13 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
16 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
10 Dec 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
27 Jan SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
21 Jan FC Bayern München A 1–0 W
14 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Dec RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
15 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
#6 Position #8
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 8
6 Conceded 8
+4 GD +0
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 8th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
SV Werder Bremen
Niclas Fullkrug 3 G
Marco Grull 2 G 3 A
Eren Dinkci 1 G
Dariusz Stalmach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.85 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0543% Draw26% SV Werder Bremen31%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
69%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
57%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw42% SV Werder Bremen23%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.