Thursday , 2 July 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Wohninvest WESERSTADION 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 8.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–0 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
19 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
15 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–3 D
12 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
21 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
25 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W
19 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
14 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
11 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
21 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #10
32 Points 40
34 Played 34
8 / 8 / 18 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
37 Scored 44
60 Conceded 53
-23 GD -9
0.94 PPG 1.18
24% Win % 29%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SV Werder Bremen is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
  • 5' Issa Kabore has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 10.
  • 14' Magnificent from Leonardo Bittencourt! That is 19 goals in 407 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 15' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Bo Henriksen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 20' SV Werder Bremen are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' Poor challenge from Marco Friedl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 36' The supporters are chanting for Skelly Alvero. He replaces Leonardo Bittencourt on 36 minute.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hyun-seok Hong suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Niklas Stark.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a card for Anthony Caci.
  • 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Nadiem Amiri has done his job and it is now time for Hyun-seok Hong to step up.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. SV Werder Bremen in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Stefan Bell has done his job and it is now time for Maxim Leitsch to step up.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ole Werner will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 66' Justin Njinmah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 521 appearances.
  • 70' A change in the SV Werder Bremen ranks — Marvin Ducksch exits the field as Marco Grull enters on 70.
  • 75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 78' A moment of madness from Romano Schmid on 78 minutes earns him a card. SV Werder Bremen will be frustrated.
  • 78' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Nelson Weiper by Armindo Sieb on 78 minute.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Jae-sung Lee. He receives a card.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 86' The SV Werder Bremen bench stirs into life. Anthony Jung is withdrawn and Amos Pieper gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Michael Zetterer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 SV Werder Bremen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV Werder Bremen48% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV Werder Bremen31% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap SV Werder Bremen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.