SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SV Werder Bremen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Wohninvest WESERSTADION 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Leonardo Bittencourt 14' 1–0

Y 10' Robin Zentner

Y 15' Bo Henriksen

Marco Friedl 26' Y

Niklas Stark 42' Y

Y 44' Anthony Caci

Romano Schmid 78' Y

Y 80' Jae-sung Lee

Michael Zetterer 90' Y

Senne Lynen 90' Y

Niklas Stark 90' YR

Marco Friedl 90' YR

Mitchell Weiser 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.

SV Werder Bremen 9 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Petersen
Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

6 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 16.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

SV Werder Bremen 15 games · Avg 2.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-09-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 SV Werder Bremen 2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-04-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

SV Werder Bremen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
25 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–2	D
19 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	0–2	L
15 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–3	D
12 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–4	L
21 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	H	4–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–1	L
25 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#6	Position	#12
15	Points	10
9	Played	9
4 / 3 / 2	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 5
17	Scored	18
15	Conceded	19
+2	GD	-1
1.67	PPG	1.11
44%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SV Werder Bremen are 6th (15 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/4

31-45

–/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

5/1

76+

7/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen

Niclas Fullkrug	9 G
Marco Grull	2 G	6 A
Eren Dinkci	2 G	1 A
Dariusz Stalmach	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! SV Werder Bremen welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.
5' The 25-year-old Issa Kabore has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
10' Robin Zentner picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
14' Leonardo Bittencourt makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SV Werder Bremen are in front.
15' That looks like a foul for a card for Bo Henriksen.
20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marvin Ducksch suffering a number of foals already.
26' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Friedl argues furiously but the card stands.
31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
36' Another change for SV Werder Bremen made on 36 minute. Leonardo Bittencourt leaves to be changed by Skelly Alvero.
41' SV Werder Bremen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
42' Controversy at the stadium! Niklas Stark argues furiously but the card stands.
44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Anthony Caci.
46' Hyun-seok Hong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nadiem Amiri on 46 minute.
51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
56' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Stefan Bell departs to be replaced by Maxim Leitsch.
61' Danny da Costa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
70' SV Werder Bremen ring the changes. Marvin Ducksch has done his job and it is now time for Marco Grull to step up.
75' Armindo Sieb, a Germany forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
78' Romano Schmid is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
78' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nelson Weiper on 78 minute.
80' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee will be fuming at that decision.
81' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Anthony Caci exits the field as Silvan Widmer enters on 81.
86' The crowd applauds Anthony Jung as he leaves the pitch. Amos Pieper steps in for SV Werder Bremen.
90' It’s a booking for SV Werder Bremen player. Michael Zetterer gets a card.
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

1
Michael Zetterer
32
Marco Friedl
8
Mitchell Weiser
10
Leonardo Bittencourt ↓ Skelly Alvero 36'
4
Niklas Stark
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Marco Grull 70'
20
Romano Schmid
3
Anthony Jung ↓ Amos Pieper 86'
29
Issa Kabore ↓ Derrick Kohn 70'
14
Senne Lynen
11
Justin Njinmah

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robin Quaison	5
Marvin Ducksch	3
Niclas Fullkrug	3
Leonardo Bittencourt	2
Jae-sung Lee	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Max Kruse	2
Jens Stage	2

Head to Head

SV Werder Bremen Form

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-25 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D 2025-01-19 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 FC Augsburg L 2025-01-15 SV Werder Bremen 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-12-21 SV Werder Bremen 4–1 1. FC Union Berlin W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.19 SV Werder Bremen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SV Werder Bremen56% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw

78%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

44%

SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SV Werder Bremen41% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 2

5.7%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

3.6%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap	SV Werder Bremen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet

26% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.