SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.
- SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
15 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 8.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Jan | FC Augsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 21 Dec | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SV Werder Bremen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #10 |
| 32 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 8 / 8 / 18 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 37 | Scored | 44 |
| 60 | Conceded | 53 |
| -23 | GD | -9 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 24% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
SV Werder Bremen this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SV Werder Bremen is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
- 5' Issa Kabore has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 10.
- 14' Magnificent from Leonardo Bittencourt! That is 19 goals in 407 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 15' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Bo Henriksen will be fuming at that decision.
- 20' SV Werder Bremen are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 26' Poor challenge from Marco Friedl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' The supporters are chanting for Skelly Alvero. He replaces Leonardo Bittencourt on 36 minute.
- 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hyun-seok Hong suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Niklas Stark.
- 44' It’s gonna be a card for Anthony Caci.
- 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Nadiem Amiri has done his job and it is now time for Hyun-seok Hong to step up.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. SV Werder Bremen in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Stefan Bell has done his job and it is now time for Maxim Leitsch to step up.
- 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ole Werner will be considering his options from the bench.
- 66' Justin Njinmah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 521 appearances.
- 70' A change in the SV Werder Bremen ranks — Marvin Ducksch exits the field as Marco Grull enters on 70.
- 75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' A moment of madness from Romano Schmid on 78 minutes earns him a card. SV Werder Bremen will be frustrated.
- 78' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Nelson Weiper by Armindo Sieb on 78 minute.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Jae-sung Lee. He receives a card.
- 81' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 86' The SV Werder Bremen bench stirs into life. Anthony Jung is withdrawn and Amos Pieper gets his opportunity.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Michael Zetterer argues furiously but the card stands.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
SV Werder Bremen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 8
- 10
- 4
-
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Marco Grull 70'
- 20
-
3
Anthony Jung ↓ Amos Pieper 86'
-
29
Issa Kabore ↓ Derrick Kohn 70'
- 14
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
5
Amos Pieper ↑ 86'
-
19
Derrick Kohn ↑ 70'
-
17
Marco Grull ↑ 70'
- 33
-
28
Skelly Alvero ↑ 36'
- 30
- 39
Coach
Ole Werner
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 81'
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Arnaud Nordin 81'
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 56'
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 46'
- 21
- 8
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Armindo Sieb 78'
- 6
- 7
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 81'
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 56'
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 81'
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 78'
- 1
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 46'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robin Quaison | 5 |
| Marvin Ducksch | 3 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Max Kruse | 2 |
| Jens Stage | 2 |
| Yuya Osako | 1 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 1 |
Head to Head
SV Werder Bremen Form
2025-01-31
SV Werder Bremen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-01-25
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
SV Werder Bremen
D
2025-01-19
SV Werder Bremen
0–2
FC Augsburg
L
2025-01-15
SV Werder Bremen
3–3
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
D
2025-01-12
RB Leipzig
4–2
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-12-21
SV Werder Bremen
4–1
1. FC Union Berlin
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-01-31
SV Werder Bremen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfB Stuttgart
W
2025-01-19
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-12-21
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
SV Werder Bremen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SV Werder Bremen win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
SV Werder Bremen or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen
| Handicap | SV Werder Bremen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

