SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SV Werder Bremen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Wohninvest WESERSTADION 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Leonardo Bittencourt 14' 1–0

Y 10' Robin Zentner

Y 15' Bo Henriksen

Marco Friedl 26' Y

Niklas Stark 42' Y

Y 44' Anthony Caci

Romano Schmid 78' Y

Y 80' Jae-sung Lee

Michael Zetterer 90' Y

Senne Lynen 90' Y

Niklas Stark 90' YR

Marco Friedl 90' YR

Mitchell Weiser 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.

SV Werder Bremen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Petersen
Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

SV Werder Bremen 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-09-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 SV Werder Bremen 2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-04-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

SV Werder Bremen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
25 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–2	D
19 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	0–2	L
15 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–3	D
12 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–4	L
21 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	H	4–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–1	L
25 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#8	Position	#6
7	Points	7
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
8	Scored	10
8	Conceded	6
+0	GD	+4
1.75	PPG	1.75
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SV Werder Bremen are 8th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/3

61-75

3/–

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen

Niclas Fullkrug	3 G
Marco Grull	2 G	3 A
Eren Dinkci	1 G
Dariusz Stalmach	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Wohninvest WESERSTADION. SV Werder Bremen are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' The referee calls foul for Robin Zentner. He receives a card.
14' Goal! Leonardo Bittencourt scores his 19 goal in 409 matches.
15' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bo Henriksen on 15 minutes.
20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kaishu Sano made 451 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
25' Hyun-seok Hong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 41 appearances.
26' The referee has no hesitation. Marco Friedl is booked for SV Werder Bremen — card on 26.
31' The 33-year-old Danny da Costa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
36' The SV Werder Bremen bench stirs into life. Leonardo Bittencourt is withdrawn and Skelly Alvero gets his opportunity.
41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
42' Niklas Stark is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
44' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a card.
46' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Nadiem Amiri is withdrawn and Hyun-seok Hong gets his opportunity.
51' Justin Njinmah is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SV Werder Bremen tonight.
56' Maxim Leitsch is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefan Bell at the 56 minute mark.
61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
66' France international Anthony Caci has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
70' SV Werder Bremen ring the changes. Marvin Ducksch has done his job and it is now time for Marco Grull to step up.
75' Both keepers have barely been tested. SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
78' The referee has no hesitation. Romano Schmid is booked for SV Werder Bremen — card on 78.
78' The crowd applauds Nelson Weiper as he leaves the pitch. Armindo Sieb steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
80' Jae-sung Lee was booked on 80.
81' The whistle greets Anthony Caci as he departs to be replaced by Silvan Widmer.
86' SV Werder Bremen make a change. Anthony Jung trudges off to be replaced by Amos Pieper on 86 minutes.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Michael Zetterer.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SV Werder Bremen 1-0 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

1
Michael Zetterer
32
Marco Friedl
8
Mitchell Weiser
10
Leonardo Bittencourt ↓ Skelly Alvero 36'
4
Niklas Stark
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Marco Grull 70'
20
Romano Schmid
3
Anthony Jung ↓ Amos Pieper 86'
29
Issa Kabore ↓ Derrick Kohn 70'
14
Senne Lynen
11
Justin Njinmah

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robin Quaison	5
Marvin Ducksch	3
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Max Kruse	2
Jens Stage	2
Leonardo Bittencourt	2
Eren Dinkci	1
Derrick Kohn	1

Head to Head

SV Werder Bremen Form

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-25 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D 2025-01-19 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 FC Augsburg L 2025-01-15 SV Werder Bremen 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-12-21 SV Werder Bremen 4–1 1. FC Union Berlin W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.78 SV Werder Bremen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SV Werder Bremen45% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0532%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw

69%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

55%

SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SV Werder Bremen30% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0529%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

4.7%

0 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.4%

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap	SV Werder Bremen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.