SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SV Werder Bremen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Wohninvest WESERSTADION 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Leonardo Bittencourt 14' 1–0

Y 10' Robin Zentner

Y 15' Bo Henriksen

Marco Friedl 26' Y

Niklas Stark 42' Y

Y 44' Anthony Caci

Romano Schmid 78' Y

Y 80' Jae-sung Lee

Michael Zetterer 90' Y

Senne Lynen 90' Y

Niklas Stark 90' YR

Marco Friedl 90' YR

Mitchell Weiser 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.

SV Werder Bremen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Petersen
Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

SV Werder Bremen 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-09-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 SV Werder Bremen 2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-04-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

SV Werder Bremen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
25 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–2	D
19 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	0–2	L
15 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–3	D
12 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–4	L
21 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	H	4–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–1	L
25 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#21	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SV Werder Bremen are 21st (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SV Werder Bremen is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Robin Zentner was booked on 10.
14' Leonardo Bittencourt puts SV Werder Bremen on the lead.
15' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bo Henriksen on 15 minutes.
20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' SV Werder Bremen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
26' That is a card for SV Werder Bremen. Marco Friedl will be fuming at that decision.
31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
36' A change in the SV Werder Bremen ranks — Leonardo Bittencourt exits the field as Skelly Alvero enters on 36.
41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
42' That looks like a foul for a card for Niklas Stark.
44' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a card.
46' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Nadiem Amiri exits the field as Hyun-seok Hong enters on 46.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. SV Werder Bremen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Stefan Bell has done his job and it is now time for Maxim Leitsch to step up.
61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ole Werner might look to freshen things up shortly.
66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
70' Fresh legs for SV Werder Bremen! Marco Grull comes on to replace Marvin Ducksch.
75' Germany international Nadiem Amiri has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
78' Romano Schmid was booked on 78.
78' The crowd applauds Nelson Weiper as he leaves the pitch. Armindo Sieb steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
80' Poor challenge from Jae-sung Lee. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
81' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Silvan Widmer on, Anthony Caci off on 81 minutes.
86' Amos Pieper is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Jung at the 86 minute mark.
90' Michael Zetterer was booked on 90.
1-0 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

1
Michael Zetterer
32
Marco Friedl
8
Mitchell Weiser
10
Leonardo Bittencourt ↓ Skelly Alvero 36'
4
Niklas Stark
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Marco Grull 70'
20
Romano Schmid
3
Anthony Jung ↓ Amos Pieper 86'
29
Issa Kabore ↓ Derrick Kohn 70'
14
Senne Lynen
11
Justin Njinmah

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robin Quaison	5
Marvin Ducksch	3
Leonardo Bittencourt	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Max Kruse	2
Jens Stage	2
Ludovic Ajorque	1
Jiri Pavlenka	1

Head to Head

SV Werder Bremen Form

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-25 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D 2025-01-19 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 FC Augsburg L 2025-01-15 SV Werder Bremen 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-12-21 SV Werder Bremen 4–1 1. FC Union Berlin W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-31 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.87 SV Werder Bremen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.46 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SV Werder Bremen47% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes23% 0% No77%

Avg goals/match: 1.33

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	71%	29%
± 1.5	39%	61%
± 2.5	16%	84%
± 3.5	5%	95%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw

83%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

53%

SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SV Werder Bremen25% Draw65% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%

Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

29.1%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

11.5%

0 – 1

10.4%

2 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

2.7%

1 – 2

2.4%

0 – 2

2.4%

3 – 1

1.5%

2 – 2

1.3%

4 – 0

0.6%

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap	SV Werder Bremen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	11%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	27%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	13%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet

63% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.