1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | FC Energie Cottbus | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 May | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 May | RB Leipzig | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SV Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #15 |
| 40 | Points | 32 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 |
| 44 | Scored | 37 |
| 53 | Conceded | 60 |
| -9 | GD | -23 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 29% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
SV Werder Bremen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: SV Werder Bremen gets underway.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 8' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marvin Ducksch makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 13' SV Werder Bremen ring the changes. Justin Njinmah has done his job and it is now time for Marco Grull to step up.
- 18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Senne Lynen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SV Werder Bremen.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marco Friedl suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' A goal from the South Korea international Jae-sung Lee! He fires home on 27 to make it 1-1!
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' Anthony Caci is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 45' Poor challenge from Anthony Caci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 50' The 31-year-old Robin Zentner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Friedl argues furiously but the card stands.
- 65' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Hyun-seok Hong is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 65 minute.
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Philipp Mwene argues furiously but the card stands.
- 67' SV Werder Bremen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Julian Malatini is hanging Marvin Ducksch on the field on 67 minute.
- 69' Derrick Kohn puts SV Werder Bremen on the lead.
- 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Paul Nebel comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
- 84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SV Werder Bremen backline.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- 90' The crowd applauds Senne Lynen as he leaves the pitch. Skelly Alvero steps in for SV Werder Bremen.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Paul Nebel 79'
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Karim Onisiwo 79'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 5
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↓ Armindo Sieb 65'
-
6
Kaishu Sano ↓ Silvan Widmer 79'
- 7
Bench
- 16
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 79'
- 21
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 79'
-
8
Paul Nebel ↑ 79'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 65'
- 1
- 22
SV Werder Bremen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 8
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 3
-
27
Felix Agu ↓ Derrick Kohn 67'
- 6
-
14
Senne Lynen ↓ Skelly Alvero 90'
-
11
Justin Njinmah ↓ Marco Grull 13'
Bench
- 10
- 5
- 2
-
19
Derrick Kohn ↑ 67'
-
22
Julian Malatini ↑ 67'
-
17
Marco Grull ↑ 13'
-
28
Skelly Alvero ↑ 90'
- 42
- 30
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robin Quaison | 5 |
| Marvin Ducksch | 3 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Max Kruse | 2 |
| Jens Stage | 2 |
| Yuya Osako | 1 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
SV Werder Bremen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SV Werder Bremen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
64%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
64%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SV Werder Bremen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

